Points
28Points expected by the market
35.07Gap
−7.07Yield
−29.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.32 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 9 | −8.42 | −57.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 18 | +3.67 | +0.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.32 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 9 | −6.08 | −50.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 7 | +4.66 | +177.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.34 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 11 | −0.99 | −34.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Karlsruhe · Home29 Jul 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.19 |
| M2 | Paderborn · Away4 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −1.04 |
| M3 | Nurnberg · Home20 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.54 | −2.58 |
| M4 | Hansa Rostock · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −3.70 |
| M5 | Elversberg · Home3 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −5.19 |
| M6 | Hannover · Away17 Sep 2023 | L 0-7 | 0 | −0.97 | −6.16 |
| M7 | Hamburg · Home22 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.17 | −3.99 |
| M8 | Kaiserslautern · Home1 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | −4.35 |
| M9 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away6 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | −4.12 |
| M10 | Wehen · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −5.75 |
| M11 | Greuther Furth · Away27 Oct 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.84 | −6.59 |
| M12 | Holstein Kiel · Home4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −6.89 |
| M13 | Braunschweig · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −8.12 |
| M14 | Magdeburg · Home25 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −9.25 |
| M15 | Schalke 04 · Away1 Dec 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.71 | −9.96 |
| M16 | St Pauli · Home9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.46 | −9.50 |
| M17 | Hertha · Away16 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.31 | −9.19 |
| M18 | Karlsruhe · Away19 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −9.97 |
| M19 | Paderborn · Home27 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −10.07 |
| M20 | Nurnberg · Away3 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −10.13 |
| M21 | Hansa Rostock · Home11 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | −10.82 |
| M22 | Elversberg · Away18 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −11.87 |
| M23 | Hannover · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −10.00 |
| M24 | Hamburg · Away3 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.36 | −7.64 |
| M25 | Kaiserslautern · Away10 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −8.49 |
| M26 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home15 Mar 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.10 | −9.59 |
| M27 | Wehen · Away31 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | −7.62 |
| M28 | Greuther Furth · Home7 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −5.96 |
| M29 | Holstein Kiel · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.61 | −6.56 |
| M30 | Braunschweig · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −7.84 |
| M31 | Magdeburg · Away28 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | −7.62 |
| M32 | Schalke 04 · Home7 May 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.12 | −8.74 |
| M33 | St Pauli · Away12 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.35 | −9.09 |
| M34 | Hertha · Home19 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | −7.07 |
| Total | 28 | −7.07 | |||