Points
52Points expected by the market
47.53Gap
+4.47Yield
+17.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 15 | −3.82 | −32.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 31 | +5.00 | +21.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 6 | +3.29 | +166.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.18 | −25.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | −0.31 | −12.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.99 | +254.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.65 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 23 | +5.31 | +36.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.30 | +123.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Greuther Furth · Away30 Jul 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.34 |
| M2 | Osnabruck · Home4 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | −2.26 |
| M3 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.93 | −0.33 |
| M4 | Kaiserslautern · Home25 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −1.92 |
| M5 | Holstein Kiel · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.14 |
| M6 | Wehen · Home15 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −1.92 |
| M7 | Magdeburg · Away22 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −2.11 |
| M8 | Schalke 04 · Home29 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −0.67 |
| M9 | Braunschweig · Away8 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.87 |
| M10 | St Pauli · Home21 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.74 |
| M11 | Hertha · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −0.44 |
| M12 | Karlsruhe · Away5 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.37 |
| M13 | Nurnberg · Home11 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.55 | −0.18 |
| M14 | Elversberg · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.45 |
| M15 | Hannover · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +0.23 |
| M16 | Hamburg · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | +2.37 |
| M17 | Hansa Rostock · Home15 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +3.35 |
| M18 | Greuther Furth · Home21 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +1.86 |
| M19 | Osnabruck · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | +1.21 |
| M20 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home4 Feb 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.62 | +2.83 |
| M21 | Kaiserslautern · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +4.61 |
| M22 | Holstein Kiel · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.48 | +3.13 |
| M23 | Wehen · Away23 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +4.65 |
| M24 | Magdeburg · Home3 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | +4.03 |
| M25 | Schalke 04 · Away9 Mar 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.18 | +3.85 |
| M26 | Braunschweig · Home15 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | +2.11 |
| M27 | St Pauli · Away31 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | +1.26 |
| M28 | Hertha · Home5 Apr 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.62 | −0.36 |
| M29 | Karlsruhe · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.87 |
| M30 | Nurnberg · Away19 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.61 |
| M31 | Elversberg · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +1.84 |
| M32 | Hannover · Away5 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.73 |
| M33 | Hamburg · Home10 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +2.72 |
| M34 | Hansa Rostock · Away19 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +4.47 |
| Total | 52 | +4.47 | |||