Points
43Points expected by the market
49.36Gap
−6.36Yield
−23.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 26 | +1.87 | +5.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 13 | −9.23 | −54.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.00 | +17.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 23 | +2.11 | +5.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.57 | −42.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.92 | +252.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.23 | +3.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 8 | −8.66 | −58.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.93 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hamburg · Away28 Jul 2023 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.30 | −1.30 |
| M2 | Kaiserslautern · Home5 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.08 |
| M3 | Braunschweig · Away20 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | −1.69 |
| M4 | Holstein Kiel · Home25 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −3.34 |
| M5 | Wehen · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −3.86 |
| M6 | Magdeburg · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.37 | −2.49 |
| M7 | St Pauli · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −3.45 |
| M8 | Paderborn · Away29 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −4.65 |
| M9 | Hertha · Home8 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −6.27 |
| M10 | Karlsruhe · Away22 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −7.54 |
| M11 | Hannover · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.52 | −6.02 |
| M12 | Nurnberg · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −4.16 |
| M13 | Elversberg · Home10 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −5.83 |
| M14 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.09 | −6.92 |
| M15 | Osnabruck · Home1 Dec 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.92 | −6.00 |
| M16 | Hansa Rostock · Away10 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −4.52 |
| M17 | Greuther Furth · Home15 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | −5.11 |
| M18 | Hamburg · Home20 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −6.44 |
| M19 | Kaiserslautern · Away26 Jan 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.39 | −7.83 |
| M20 | Braunschweig · Home3 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −6.59 |
| M21 | Holstein Kiel · Away11 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −7.93 |
| M22 | Wehen · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −6.83 |
| M23 | Magdeburg · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −8.00 |
| M24 | St Pauli · Home1 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −6.07 |
| M25 | Paderborn · Home9 Mar 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.56 | −6.63 |
| M26 | Hertha · Away17 Mar 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.27 | −7.90 |
| M27 | Karlsruhe · Home31 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | −8.35 |
| M28 | Hannover · Away7 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −8.33 |
| M29 | Nurnberg · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | −7.30 |
| M30 | Elversberg · Away19 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −7.70 |
| M31 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −8.00 |
| M32 | Osnabruck · Away7 May 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −6.63 |
| M33 | Hansa Rostock · Home11 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | −5.30 |
| M34 | Greuther Furth · Away19 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −6.36 |
| Total | 43 | −6.36 | |||