Points
69Points expected by the market
61.90Gap
+7.10Yield
+8.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 14 | −2.15 | −23.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 39 | +4.43 | +2.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 16 | +4.81 | +50.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 13 | −0.89 | −11.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 25 | +4.21 | +6.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.26 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | +0.22 | −3.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 16 | +4.81 | +50.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kaiserslautern · Away29 Jul 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.53 |
| M2 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home5 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | +0.82 |
| M3 | Greuther Furth · Away19 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.52 |
| M4 | Magdeburg · Home27 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | −0.27 |
| M5 | Braunschweig · Away1 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −1.06 |
| M6 | Holstein Kiel · Home17 Sep 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +0.20 |
| M7 | Schalke 04 · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.41 |
| M8 | Hertha · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +3.01 |
| M9 | Nurnberg · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +3.95 |
| M10 | Paderborn · Away21 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | +3.33 |
| M11 | Karlsruhe · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +4.28 |
| M12 | Elversberg · Away3 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +5.68 |
| M13 | Hannover · Home10 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.96 | +4.73 |
| M14 | Hansa Rostock · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.07 | +5.80 |
| M15 | Hamburg · Home1 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.78 | +5.02 |
| M16 | Osnabruck · Away9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.26 | +3.76 |
| M17 | Wehen · Home17 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.38 | +2.38 |
| M18 | Kaiserslautern · Home20 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +3.24 |
| M19 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away27 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +4.76 |
| M20 | Greuther Furth · Home3 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.01 | +5.77 |
| M21 | Magdeburg · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | +3.99 |
| M22 | Braunschweig · Home18 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +4.72 |
| M23 | Holstein Kiel · Away23 Feb 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.54 | +6.26 |
| M24 | Schalke 04 · Away1 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.65 | +4.61 |
| M25 | Hertha · Home10 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +5.62 |
| M26 | Nurnberg · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +6.75 |
| M27 | Paderborn · Home31 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +7.83 |
| M28 | Karlsruhe · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | +6.40 |
| M29 | Elversberg · Home14 Apr 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −2.26 | +4.14 |
| M30 | Hannover · Away21 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +5.65 |
| M31 | Hansa Rostock · Home26 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +6.32 |
| M32 | Hamburg · Away3 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +5.16 |
| M33 | Osnabruck · Home12 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.49 | +5.65 |
| M34 | Wehen · Away19 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +7.10 |
| Total | 69 | +7.10 | |||