Points
32Points expected by the market
38.11Gap
−6.11Yield
−18.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 1 | −4.12 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 18 | −1.07 | −8.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 13 | −0.92 | −12.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 1 | −4.12 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | −0.53 | −12.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.54 | +9.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 12 | +0.04 | +0.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Magdeburg · Home29 Jul 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.22 |
| M2 | Hertha · Away4 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.21 | +1.99 |
| M3 | Karlsruhe · Home18 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +3.70 |
| M4 | Nurnberg · Away27 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +2.65 |
| M5 | Schalke 04 · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +2.42 |
| M6 | Paderborn · Away15 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +1.45 |
| M7 | Elversberg · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +0.06 |
| M8 | Hannover · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.80 |
| M9 | Hamburg · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.72 |
| M10 | Osnabruck · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.17 |
| M11 | Hansa Rostock · Home29 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +2.69 |
| M12 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away3 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.28 | +4.97 |
| M13 | Kaiserslautern · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +6.62 |
| M14 | Greuther Furth · Away26 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +5.72 |
| M15 | Holstein Kiel · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.97 | +4.75 |
| M16 | Braunschweig · Home8 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.55 | +3.19 |
| M17 | St Pauli · Away17 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.55 | +3.74 |
| M18 | Magdeburg · Away21 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | +2.91 |
| M19 | Hertha · Home27 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +4.60 |
| M20 | Karlsruhe · Away2 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | +4.73 |
| M21 | Nurnberg · Home9 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +4.00 |
| M22 | Schalke 04 · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | +3.14 |
| M23 | Paderborn · Home23 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +1.88 |
| M24 | Elversberg · Away3 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +3.82 |
| M25 | Hannover · Home9 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +3.63 |
| M26 | Hamburg · Away17 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.70 | +2.93 |
| M27 | Osnabruck · Home31 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | +1.22 |
| M28 | Hansa Rostock · Away5 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −0.04 |
| M29 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.09 |
| M30 | Kaiserslautern · Away20 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −0.99 |
| M31 | Greuther Furth · Home28 Apr 2024 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.67 | −2.67 |
| M32 | Holstein Kiel · Home5 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −3.75 |
| M33 | Braunschweig · Away12 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −4.91 |
| M34 | St Pauli · Home19 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −6.11 |
| Total | 32 | −6.11 | |||