Points
35Points expected by the market
39.09Gap
−4.09Yield
−13.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −2.11 | −45.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 16 | −1.91 | −16.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 14 | −0.07 | −3.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −2.11 | −45.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | +1.12 | +6.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.15 | +114.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −3.02 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 11 | −1.22 | −20.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Schalke 04 · Away3 Aug 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.97 | −0.97 |
| M2 | Magdeburg · Home11 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.39 |
| M3 | FC Koln · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.64 | −3.03 |
| M4 | Karlsruhe · Home1 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −4.27 |
| M5 | Darmstadt · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −4.32 |
| M6 | Greuther Furth · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −2.88 |
| M7 | Ulm · Away27 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −4.22 |
| M8 | Hannover · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −2.37 |
| M9 | Hertha · Away18 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −3.36 |
| M10 | Preußen Münster · Home27 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −4.11 |
| M11 | Paderborn · Away3 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | −4.01 |
| M12 | Hamburg · Home8 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −2.15 |
| M13 | Kaiserslautern · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −3.41 |
| M14 | Regensburg · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.95 | −4.36 |
| M15 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.90 | −5.26 |
| M16 | Elversberg · Home15 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −6.43 |
| M17 | Nurnberg · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −7.29 |
| M18 | Schalke 04 · Home18 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −7.44 |
| M19 | Magdeburg · Away24 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | −7.13 |
| M20 | FC Koln · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −8.07 |
| M21 | Karlsruhe · Away9 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −5.99 |
| M22 | Darmstadt · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −4.35 |
| M23 | Greuther Furth · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −5.43 |
| M24 | Ulm · Home1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −5.91 |
| M25 | Hannover · Away9 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −5.80 |
| M26 | Hertha · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.15 | −6.95 |
| M27 | Preußen Münster · Away30 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −7.01 |
| M28 | Paderborn · Home4 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.09 | −4.93 |
| M29 | Hamburg · Away11 Apr 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.42 | −2.51 |
| M30 | Kaiserslautern · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −0.86 |
| M31 | Regensburg · Away26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −1.28 |
| M32 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home3 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −1.55 |
| M33 | Elversberg · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −2.24 |
| M34 | Nurnberg · Home18 May 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.85 | −4.09 |
| Total | 35 | −4.09 | |||