Points
42Points expected by the market
48.20Gap
−6.20Yield
−21.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 19 | −0.16 | −10.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 12 | −7.91 | −46.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 8 | +1.08 | +7.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 19 | +1.73 | −1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −3.90 | −55.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.97 | +260.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.89 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 9 | −4.02 | −41.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | −0.89 | −35.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home4 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.17 |
| M2 | Paderborn · Away11 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.18 |
| M3 | Nurnberg · Home25 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −2.84 |
| M4 | Elversberg · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.37 | −4.22 |
| M5 | Braunschweig · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −4.91 |
| M6 | Schalke 04 · Away20 Sep 2024 | W 5-3 | 3 | +2.02 | −2.88 |
| M7 | Magdeburg · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −4.37 |
| M8 | Karlsruhe · Away4 Oct 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.12 | −4.25 |
| M9 | FC Koln · Home18 Oct 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.97 | −2.28 |
| M10 | Ulm · Home27 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.96 | −3.24 |
| M11 | Greuther Furth · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.58 | −1.66 |
| M12 | Hertha · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −0.29 |
| M13 | Hannover · Away23 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.61 |
| M14 | Preußen Münster · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.91 | +0.71 |
| M15 | Hamburg · Away8 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.67 |
| M16 | Kaiserslautern · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +1.93 |
| M17 | Regensburg · Away22 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.89 | +0.04 |
| M18 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away17 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.22 |
| M19 | Paderborn · Home26 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.77 |
| M20 | Nurnberg · Away31 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −3.06 |
| M21 | Elversberg · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −4.59 |
| M22 | Braunschweig · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −5.96 |
| M23 | Schalke 04 · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −4.51 |
| M24 | Magdeburg · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.05 | −5.56 |
| M25 | Karlsruhe · Home7 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −4.23 |
| M26 | FC Koln · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −5.18 |
| M27 | Ulm · Away28 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −6.71 |
| M28 | Greuther Furth · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −5.57 |
| M29 | Hertha · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −5.65 |
| M30 | Hannover · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −4.24 |
| M31 | Preußen Münster · Away26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −4.74 |
| M32 | Hamburg · Home3 May 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.16 | −5.90 |
| M33 | Kaiserslautern · Away11 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −6.99 |
| M34 | Regensburg · Home18 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.80 | −6.20 |
| Total | 42 | −6.20 | |||