Points
58Points expected by the market
49.84Gap
+8.16Yield
+11.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.61 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 17 | −2.51 | −15.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 30 | +8.73 | +37.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +0.33 | −21.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.61 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −4.26 | −45.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 15 | +5.10 | +82.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +1.75 | +37.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +3.63 | +1.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.30 | −2.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Magdeburg · Away3 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.18 |
| M2 | FC Koln · Home10 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | −0.16 |
| M3 | Karlsruhe · Away23 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.03 |
| M4 | Darmstadt · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.60 |
| M5 | Greuther Furth · Away15 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.55 |
| M6 | Ulm · Home22 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.82 | −1.27 |
| M7 | Hertha · Away29 Sep 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.04 | +0.77 |
| M8 | Kaiserslautern · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.21 |
| M9 | Preußen Münster · Away19 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +1.82 |
| M10 | Hamburg · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.71 | +3.53 |
| M11 | Regensburg · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.82 | +1.71 |
| M12 | Hannover · Home10 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +3.42 |
| M13 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away23 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +5.30 |
| M14 | Paderborn · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.47 | +3.83 |
| M15 | Nurnberg · Home6 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +5.38 |
| M16 | Braunschweig · Away15 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +6.82 |
| M17 | Schalke 04 · Home20 Dec 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.59 | +5.23 |
| M18 | Magdeburg · Home19 Jan 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.53 | +3.70 |
| M19 | FC Koln · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | +2.77 |
| M20 | Karlsruhe · Home31 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | +2.14 |
| M21 | Darmstadt · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +3.94 |
| M22 | Greuther Furth · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +5.03 |
| M23 | Ulm · Away22 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | +4.54 |
| M24 | Hertha · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +6.03 |
| M25 | Kaiserslautern · Away7 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +5.57 |
| M26 | Preußen Münster · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.97 | +3.60 |
| M27 | Hamburg · Away28 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.06 | +3.66 |
| M28 | Regensburg · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +4.37 |
| M29 | Hannover · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +6.08 |
| M30 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +5.32 |
| M31 | Paderborn · Away26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +5.13 |
| M32 | Nurnberg · Away4 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +6.22 |
| M33 | Braunschweig · Home10 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +7.12 |
| M34 | Schalke 04 · Away18 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +8.16 |
| Total | 58 | +8.16 | |||