Points
61Points expected by the market
62.10Gap
−1.10Yield
−3.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 23 | +0.88 | −1.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 31 | −2.44 | −11.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.47 | −40.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.94 | +257.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 17 | −0.85 | −12.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −2.35 | −21.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.73 | +46.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | −0.09 | −1.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.47 | −40.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.94 | +257.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hamburg · Home2 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.64 | −1.64 |
| M2 | Elversberg · Away10 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.79 | −2.43 |
| M3 | Braunschweig · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.83 | −1.60 |
| M4 | Schalke 04 · Away1 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.40 | −0.19 |
| M5 | Magdeburg · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.18 | −2.37 |
| M6 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | −2.91 |
| M7 | Karlsruhe · Home29 Sep 2024 | D 4-4 | 1 | −1.11 | −4.02 |
| M8 | Ulm · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.64 | −3.38 |
| M9 | Darmstadt · Away18 Oct 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.73 | −5.11 |
| M10 | Paderborn · Home25 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.05 | −7.16 |
| M11 | Hertha · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −5.61 |
| M12 | Greuther Furth · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.76 | −4.85 |
| M13 | Preußen Münster · Away22 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −3.71 |
| M14 | Hannover · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | −4.57 |
| M15 | Regensburg · Away8 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.89 | −3.69 |
| M16 | Nurnberg · Home15 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.98 | −2.70 |
| M17 | Kaiserslautern · Away22 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −1.38 |
| M18 | Hamburg · Away18 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −2.65 |
| M19 | Elversberg · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −1.48 |
| M20 | Braunschweig · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −0.28 |
| M21 | Schalke 04 · Home9 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +0.92 |
| M22 | Magdeburg · Away14 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.29 |
| M23 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home23 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −1.03 |
| M24 | Karlsruhe · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | −2.70 |
| M25 | Ulm · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −1.32 |
| M26 | Darmstadt · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | −0.11 |
| M27 | Paderborn · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +1.83 |
| M28 | Hertha · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | +0.22 |
| M29 | Greuther Furth · Away11 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −0.46 |
| M30 | Preußen Münster · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.83 | +0.38 |
| M31 | Hannover · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | −1.31 |
| M32 | Regensburg · Home3 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.49 | −2.80 |
| M33 | Nurnberg · Away9 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.84 | −1.96 |
| M34 | Kaiserslautern · Home18 May 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.86 | −1.10 |
| Total | 61 | −1.10 | |||