Points
53Points expected by the market
50.33Gap
+2.67Yield
−5.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 26 | −0.36 | −0.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +1.74 | −13.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 6 | +1.29 | −2.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 17 | −2.60 | −18.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +0.38 | −25.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +2.24 | +51.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.36 | −4.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 6 | +1.29 | −2.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Darmstadt · Away4 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.43 |
| M2 | Karlsruhe · Home10 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | +0.70 |
| M3 | Ulm · Away25 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.08 |
| M4 | Hannover · Home30 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +3.53 |
| M5 | Hertha · Away15 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +5.22 |
| M6 | FC Koln · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | +5.02 |
| M7 | Greuther Furth · Away27 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +6.56 |
| M8 | Hamburg · Home6 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.32 | +5.23 |
| M9 | Regensburg · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +6.37 |
| M10 | Kaiserslautern · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.89 | +4.48 |
| M11 | Preußen Münster · Away1 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | +2.77 |
| M12 | Paderborn · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +2.21 |
| M13 | Elversberg · Home23 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.62 | +0.59 |
| M14 | Nurnberg · Away1 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.40 |
| M15 | Braunschweig · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +1.55 |
| M16 | Schalke 04 · Away14 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +1.22 |
| M17 | Magdeburg · Home20 Dec 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.61 | −0.39 |
| M18 | Darmstadt · Home17 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.86 |
| M19 | Karlsruhe · Away25 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.80 |
| M20 | Ulm · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.15 | +1.95 |
| M21 | Hannover · Away9 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | +1.90 |
| M22 | Hertha · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +3.39 |
| M23 | FC Koln · Away23 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +3.40 |
| M24 | Greuther Furth · Home28 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | +1.67 |
| M25 | Hamburg · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.87 | +0.80 |
| M26 | Regensburg · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +1.82 |
| M27 | Kaiserslautern · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | +0.59 |
| M28 | Preußen Münster · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.89 |
| M29 | Paderborn · Away13 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.19 | +4.08 |
| M30 | Elversberg · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +4.09 |
| M31 | Nurnberg · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.87 | +3.22 |
| M32 | Braunschweig · Away3 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | +2.76 |
| M33 | Schalke 04 · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +3.98 |
| M34 | Magdeburg · Away18 May 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.31 | +2.67 |
| Total | 53 | +2.67 | |||