Points
39Points expected by the market
42.03Gap
−3.03Yield
−14.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.11 | −2.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 19 | −4.89 | −41.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 10 | +1.97 | +33.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.11 | −2.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −0.96 | −12.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 7 | −3.93 | −73.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 9 | +2.03 | +49.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Preußen Münster · Home4 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +1.28 |
| M2 | Kaiserslautern · Away9 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | +1.21 |
| M3 | Paderborn · Home24 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +0.81 |
| M4 | Regensburg · Away30 Aug 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +2.35 |
| M5 | Elversberg · Home15 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | +1.64 |
| M6 | Braunschweig · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.46 |
| M7 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home27 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −0.80 |
| M8 | Magdeburg · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.87 |
| M9 | Nurnberg · Home20 Oct 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.63 | −2.50 |
| M10 | Schalke 04 · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.99 | −0.50 |
| M11 | Darmstadt · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.32 | −1.82 |
| M12 | FC Koln · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.58 | −2.40 |
| M13 | Karlsruhe · Home23 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.62 |
| M14 | Ulm · Away1 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −3.98 |
| M15 | Hertha · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −2.18 |
| M16 | Hannover · Home15 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −0.31 |
| M17 | Hamburg · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.74 | −1.05 |
| M18 | Preußen Münster · Away18 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.23 |
| M19 | Kaiserslautern · Home24 Jan 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.49 | −3.72 |
| M20 | Paderborn · Away2 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.13 | −1.60 |
| M21 | Regensburg · Home7 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.37 |
| M22 | Elversberg · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −1.21 |
| M23 | Braunschweig · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +0.13 |
| M24 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away28 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +2.12 |
| M25 | Magdeburg · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +1.90 |
| M26 | Nurnberg · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | +0.74 |
| M27 | Schalke 04 · Home30 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.34 | +0.40 |
| M28 | Darmstadt · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.49 |
| M29 | FC Koln · Home11 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.55 |
| M30 | Karlsruhe · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.84 |
| M31 | Ulm · Home25 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | −3.46 |
| M32 | Hertha · Away4 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −4.49 |
| M33 | Hannover · Away11 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −4.66 |
| M34 | Hamburg · Home18 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.63 | −3.03 |
| Total | 39 | −3.03 | |||