Points
59Points expected by the market
58.24Gap
+0.76Yield
−3.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 9 | −1.89 | −15.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 30 | −0.78 | −26.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 20 | +3.43 | +32.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 9 | −1.89 | −15.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | −0.79 | −34.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.01 | +16.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | +0.01 | −14.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +2.43 | +35.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | FC Koln · Away2 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.89 |
| M2 | Hertha · Home10 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | +0.97 |
| M3 | Hannover · Away23 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −0.40 |
| M4 | Preußen Münster · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +0.49 |
| M5 | Regensburg · Home15 Sep 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +1.28 |
| M6 | Kaiserslautern · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | +0.70 |
| M7 | Paderborn · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.75 | −0.05 |
| M8 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away6 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.54 |
| M9 | Magdeburg · Home20 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +2.63 |
| M10 | Elversberg · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.17 |
| M11 | Nurnberg · Home3 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | +0.26 |
| M12 | Braunschweig · Away8 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.60 | −1.34 |
| M13 | Schalke 04 · Home23 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.88 | −2.22 |
| M14 | Karlsruhe · Away1 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −0.51 |
| M15 | Darmstadt · Home8 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | −1.23 |
| M16 | Ulm · Away14 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −2.00 |
| M17 | Greuther Furth · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.93 | −1.07 |
| M18 | FC Koln · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.46 |
| M19 | Hertha · Away25 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.02 |
| M20 | Hannover · Home2 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +1.49 |
| M21 | Preußen Münster · Away7 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.86 |
| M22 | Regensburg · Away16 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | +1.85 |
| M23 | Kaiserslautern · Home21 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +2.93 |
| M24 | Paderborn · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.69 |
| M25 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +2.80 |
| M26 | Magdeburg · Away14 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +4.47 |
| M27 | Elversberg · Home28 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.82 | +3.65 |
| M28 | Nurnberg · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +4.85 |
| M29 | Braunschweig · Home11 Apr 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −2.23 | +2.62 |
| M30 | Schalke 04 · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +2.09 |
| M31 | Karlsruhe · Home27 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.08 | 0.00 |
| M32 | Darmstadt · Away3 May 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.41 |
| M33 | Ulm · Home10 May 2025 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +2.15 |
| M34 | Greuther Furth · Away18 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.76 |
| Total | 59 | +0.76 | |||