Points
51Points expected by the market
51.53Gap
−0.53Yield
−12.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 25 | −2.80 | −32.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 19 | −0.65 | −8.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.07 | +79.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.84 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 21 | −0.20 | −26.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.26 | −14.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.95 | +258.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 4 | −2.60 | −51.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | −0.39 | −6.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.12 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Regensburg · Home3 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +0.93 |
| M2 | Preußen Münster · Away11 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | +0.23 |
| M3 | Hamburg · Home23 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.87 |
| M4 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away30 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +0.69 |
| M5 | Kaiserslautern · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.99 |
| M6 | Paderborn · Away20 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.79 |
| M7 | Nurnberg · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +1.63 |
| M8 | Braunschweig · Away6 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.58 | +0.05 |
| M9 | Schalke 04 · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.26 |
| M10 | Magdeburg · Away27 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +2.93 |
| M11 | Karlsruhe · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +4.22 |
| M12 | Elversberg · Away10 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.43 | +2.79 |
| M13 | Darmstadt · Home23 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | +1.15 |
| M14 | FC Koln · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.12 | +1.27 |
| M15 | Ulm · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.97 | +2.24 |
| M16 | Greuther Furth · Away15 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | +0.64 |
| M17 | Hertha · Home22 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | +0.06 |
| M18 | Regensburg · Away17 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +1.32 |
| M19 | Preußen Münster · Home26 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.96 | +0.37 |
| M20 | Hamburg · Away2 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.16 |
| M21 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home9 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −0.53 |
| M22 | Kaiserslautern · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.97 |
| M23 | Paderborn · Home22 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −1.55 |
| M24 | Nurnberg · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +0.21 |
| M25 | Braunschweig · Home9 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −0.65 |
| M26 | Schalke 04 · Away14 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.16 |
| M27 | Magdeburg · Home29 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.71 |
| M28 | Karlsruhe · Away4 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −0.80 |
| M29 | Elversberg · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −2.24 |
| M30 | Darmstadt · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −3.38 |
| M31 | FC Koln · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | −1.43 |
| M32 | Ulm · Away3 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.19 |
| M33 | Greuther Furth · Home11 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.39 |
| M34 | Hertha · Away18 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.53 |
| Total | 51 | −0.53 | |||