Points
44Points expected by the market
51.29Gap
−7.29Yield
−16.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 22 | −6.29 | −28.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 21 | −1.14 | +0.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.14 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 16 | −7.32 | −45.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 1 | −4.51 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.03 | +45.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 20 | +3.37 | +30.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.14 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Paderborn · Home3 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −1.61 |
| M2 | Hamburg · Away10 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | −1.46 |
| M3 | Regensburg · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | −0.44 |
| M4 | Kaiserslautern · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.79 | +1.35 |
| M5 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home15 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −0.08 |
| M6 | Nurnberg · Away21 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.35 |
| M7 | Elversberg · Home29 Sep 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.81 | −0.46 |
| M8 | Schalke 04 · Away5 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.76 |
| M9 | Braunschweig · Home18 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +0.48 |
| M10 | Karlsruhe · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +2.28 |
| M11 | FC Koln · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | +0.99 |
| M12 | Darmstadt · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −0.14 |
| M13 | Ulm · Home23 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.07 | −1.20 |
| M14 | Magdeburg · Away29 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.43 |
| M15 | Greuther Furth · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −1.12 |
| M16 | Preußen Münster · Home13 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.94 | −3.05 |
| M17 | Hannover · Away22 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −3.21 |
| M18 | Paderborn · Away19 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −1.38 |
| M19 | Hamburg · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.68 |
| M20 | Regensburg · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.83 | −4.52 |
| M21 | Kaiserslautern · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −6.26 |
| M22 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −7.49 |
| M23 | Nurnberg · Home21 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | −8.18 |
| M24 | Elversberg · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.22 | −9.40 |
| M25 | Schalke 04 · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | −11.19 |
| M26 | Braunschweig · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −9.75 |
| M27 | Karlsruhe · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.06 | −8.69 |
| M28 | FC Koln · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −6.82 |
| M29 | Darmstadt · Home12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −7.48 |
| M30 | Ulm · Away20 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.43 | −6.05 |
| M31 | Magdeburg · Home25 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −6.53 |
| M32 | Greuther Furth · Home4 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −5.26 |
| M33 | Preußen Münster · Away9 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −6.67 |
| M34 | Hannover · Home18 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −7.29 |
| Total | 44 | −7.29 | |||