Points
53Points expected by the market
44.95Gap
+8.05Yield
+13.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +2.98 | +16.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 30 | +6.30 | +17.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 6 | −1.23 | +2.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +3.59 | +32.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +2.60 | +1.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.61 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +3.70 | +38.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 6 | −1.23 | +2.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Ulm · Away4 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.56 |
| M2 | Greuther Furth · Home9 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | +0.88 |
| M3 | Preußen Münster · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +2.45 |
| M4 | Hertha · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.53 | +0.92 |
| M5 | Hannover · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.13 |
| M6 | Hamburg · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.29 |
| M7 | Regensburg · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | −0.90 |
| M8 | Elversberg · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −2.09 |
| M9 | Paderborn · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −0.29 |
| M10 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.13 | +1.84 |
| M11 | Magdeburg · Home3 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | +1.35 |
| M12 | Nurnberg · Away8 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | +1.19 |
| M13 | Braunschweig · Home24 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.53 | +2.72 |
| M14 | Schalke 04 · Away29 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +4.60 |
| M15 | Karlsruhe · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +6.20 |
| M16 | Darmstadt · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.01 | +5.19 |
| M17 | FC Koln · Home22 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +4.12 |
| M18 | Ulm · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +5.44 |
| M19 | Greuther Furth · Away24 Jan 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.75 | +7.19 |
| M20 | Preußen Münster · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +8.42 |
| M21 | Hertha · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +10.40 |
| M22 | Hannover · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | +10.12 |
| M23 | Hamburg · Away21 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | +9.28 |
| M24 | Regensburg · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +10.28 |
| M25 | Elversberg · Home7 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +10.01 |
| M26 | Paderborn · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.84 | +9.17 |
| M27 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +10.66 |
| M28 | Magdeburg · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +9.72 |
| M29 | Nurnberg · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.83 | +7.89 |
| M30 | Braunschweig · Away19 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +6.51 |
| M31 | Schalke 04 · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +7.74 |
| M32 | Karlsruhe · Away4 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | +7.40 |
| M33 | Darmstadt · Home11 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +8.72 |
| M34 | FC Koln · Away18 May 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.67 | +8.05 |
| Total | 53 | +8.05 | |||