Points
52Points expected by the market
46.59Gap
+5.41Yield
+11.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 16 | −1.80 | −28.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 22 | +4.73 | +23.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 11 | +1.66 | +32.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −2.41 | −34.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +1.87 | +39.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 6 | +4.06 | +298.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.61 | −1.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +2.86 | +9.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.41 | −33.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nurnberg · Home3 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.96 | +0.96 |
| M2 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away10 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.94 |
| M3 | Elversberg · Home23 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.09 | +2.03 |
| M4 | Braunschweig · Away1 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +3.53 |
| M5 | Schalke 04 · Home13 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +4.85 |
| M6 | Magdeburg · Away22 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | +4.49 |
| M7 | FC Koln · Away29 Sep 2024 | D 4-4 | 1 | +0.31 | +4.80 |
| M8 | Darmstadt · Home4 Oct 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.89 | +3.91 |
| M9 | Ulm · Away20 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +5.22 |
| M10 | Hertha · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.55 | +3.66 |
| M11 | Hannover · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +2.63 |
| M12 | Preußen Münster · Home10 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | +1.76 |
| M13 | Greuther Furth · Away23 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.47 | +3.23 |
| M14 | Hamburg · Home1 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.79 |
| M15 | Kaiserslautern · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.34 | +0.45 |
| M16 | Regensburg · Home13 Dec 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.82 | +1.27 |
| M17 | Paderborn · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +3.12 |
| M18 | Nurnberg · Away19 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +2.09 |
| M19 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +0.69 |
| M20 | Elversberg · Away31 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.57 |
| M21 | Braunschweig · Home9 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.84 | −1.26 |
| M22 | Schalke 04 · Away16 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.30 |
| M23 | Magdeburg · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.79 | −0.51 |
| M24 | FC Koln · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +1.42 |
| M25 | Darmstadt · Away7 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.36 |
| M26 | Ulm · Home16 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.28 |
| M27 | Hertha · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −1.10 |
| M28 | Hannover · Home4 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +0.68 |
| M29 | Preußen Münster · Away13 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.54 |
| M30 | Greuther Furth · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +2.10 |
| M31 | Hamburg · Away27 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.28 | +4.38 |
| M32 | Kaiserslautern · Home4 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | +3.98 |
| M33 | Regensburg · Away11 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | +3.28 |
| M34 | Paderborn · Home18 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.13 | +5.41 |
| Total | 52 | +5.41 | |||