Points
53Points expected by the market
49.55Gap
+3.45Yield
+11.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.36 | −30.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −2.04 | −29.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 35 | +6.31 | +16.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.54 | +111.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.36 | −30.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.75 | −38.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −2.97 | −49.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.29 | −0.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 25 | +9.28 | +66.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.54 | +111.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Elversberg · Home3 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | −0.55 |
| M2 | Braunschweig · Away11 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +1.13 |
| M3 | Schalke 04 · Home25 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | +0.67 |
| M4 | Nurnberg · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +2.38 |
| M5 | FC Koln · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.37 | +4.75 |
| M6 | Karlsruhe · Home22 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | +4.36 |
| M7 | Darmstadt · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +6.12 |
| M8 | Greuther Furth · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.69 | +5.42 |
| M9 | Hamburg · Away20 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.86 | +4.56 |
| M10 | Hannover · Home27 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +3.17 |
| M11 | Kaiserslautern · Away3 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | +2.92 |
| M12 | Ulm · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.77 | +2.15 |
| M13 | Regensburg · Away24 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +3.46 |
| M14 | Hertha · Home29 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.38 | +2.09 |
| M15 | Preußen Münster · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +3.68 |
| M16 | Paderborn · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +3.26 |
| M17 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away20 Dec 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.87 | +5.13 |
| M18 | Elversberg · Away19 Jan 2025 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.78 | +6.91 |
| M19 | Braunschweig · Home24 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | +5.81 |
| M20 | Schalke 04 · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.75 | +7.56 |
| M21 | Nurnberg · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.64 | +5.92 |
| M22 | FC Koln · Home14 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +7.39 |
| M23 | Karlsruhe · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | +5.86 |
| M24 | Darmstadt · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +7.16 |
| M25 | Greuther Furth · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | +6.64 |
| M26 | Hamburg · Home14 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.41 | +5.23 |
| M27 | Hannover · Away29 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +4.94 |
| M28 | Kaiserslautern · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +6.10 |
| M29 | Ulm · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | +4.50 |
| M30 | Regensburg · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +5.27 |
| M31 | Hertha · Away25 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +4.99 |
| M32 | Preußen Münster · Home2 May 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −2.14 | +2.86 |
| M33 | Paderborn · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +1.90 |
| M34 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home18 May 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.55 | +3.45 |
| Total | 53 | +3.45 | |||