Points
48Points expected by the market
41.45Gap
+6.55Yield
+12.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.44 | +19.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 25 | +5.53 | +51.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 10 | −1.41 | −36.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +4.10 | +43.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.77 | +14.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.47 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.67 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 12 | +4.76 | +108.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 10 | +1.07 | −17.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Karlsruhe · Away3 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −0.76 |
| M2 | Schalke 04 · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +1.03 |
| M3 | Darmstadt · Away25 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.96 |
| M4 | Magdeburg · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.44 | −0.48 |
| M5 | Ulm · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +1.38 |
| M6 | Hertha · Home21 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +0.20 |
| M7 | Hannover · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −0.44 |
| M8 | Preußen Münster · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.67 | +1.23 |
| M9 | Greuther Furth · Away20 Oct 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +3.12 |
| M10 | Regensburg · Home25 Oct 2024 | W 8-3 | 3 | +1.03 | +4.15 |
| M11 | Hamburg · Away3 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | +4.28 |
| M12 | Kaiserslautern · Home8 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | +3.71 |
| M13 | Paderborn · Away22 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.05 | +2.66 |
| M14 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home1 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +2.13 |
| M15 | Elversberg · Away6 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +0.85 |
| M16 | FC Koln · Away15 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.77 | +0.08 |
| M17 | Braunschweig · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +1.17 |
| M18 | Karlsruhe · Home19 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +2.45 |
| M19 | Schalke 04 · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | +1.23 |
| M20 | Darmstadt · Home31 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +2.79 |
| M21 | Magdeburg · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.89 | +4.68 |
| M22 | Ulm · Home16 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +5.97 |
| M23 | Hertha · Away21 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | +5.92 |
| M24 | Hannover · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +4.44 |
| M25 | Preußen Münster · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +6.05 |
| M26 | Greuther Furth · Home16 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +7.49 |
| M27 | Regensburg · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | +5.82 |
| M28 | Hamburg · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.97 | +4.86 |
| M29 | Kaiserslautern · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +6.93 |
| M30 | Paderborn · Home19 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.06 | +5.87 |
| M31 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away26 Apr 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.11 | +5.98 |
| M32 | Elversberg · Home4 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.86 | +5.12 |
| M33 | FC Koln · Home9 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | +4.47 |
| M34 | Braunschweig · Away18 May 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.08 | +6.55 |
| Total | 48 | +6.55 | |||