Points
55Points expected by the market
54.64Gap
+0.36Yield
+3.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +37.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | 26 | −9.97 | −36.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 22 | +7.33 | +42.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.26 | +170.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +37.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 18 | −7.20 | −36.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.97 | +126.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.77 | −36.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 16 | +4.36 | +24.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.26 | +170.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hertha · Away3 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +1.85 |
| M2 | Darmstadt · Home11 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +3.10 |
| M3 | Greuther Furth · Away24 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | +2.76 |
| M4 | Ulm · Home1 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.06 | +1.69 |
| M5 | Preußen Münster · Away13 Sep 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.61 | +1.09 |
| M6 | Hannover · Home20 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +2.55 |
| M7 | Hamburg · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.01 | +2.54 |
| M8 | Regensburg · Home4 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +3.29 |
| M9 | Kaiserslautern · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.53 | +1.76 |
| M10 | FC Koln · Away25 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.26 | +4.02 |
| M11 | Braunschweig · Home3 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.85 | +3.17 |
| M12 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +3.02 |
| M13 | Nurnberg · Home22 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.30 | +4.32 |
| M14 | Elversberg · Away30 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +6.05 |
| M15 | Schalke 04 · Home6 Dec 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.89 | +4.17 |
| M16 | Magdeburg · Away14 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +3.86 |
| M17 | Karlsruhe · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | +2.28 |
| M18 | Hertha · Home19 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +0.71 |
| M19 | Darmstadt · Away26 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +2.52 |
| M20 | Greuther Furth · Home2 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.89 | +0.63 |
| M21 | Ulm · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.07 |
| M22 | Preußen Münster · Home14 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +3.08 |
| M23 | Hannover · Away22 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +2.93 |
| M24 | Hamburg · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +4.44 |
| M25 | Regensburg · Away9 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.96 | +3.47 |
| M26 | Kaiserslautern · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.08 | +4.55 |
| M27 | FC Koln · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | +2.88 |
| M28 | Braunschweig · Away4 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.84 | +1.05 |
| M29 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home13 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.96 | −0.91 |
| M30 | Nurnberg · Away19 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.31 | +0.40 |
| M31 | Elversberg · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −0.15 |
| M32 | Schalke 04 · Away2 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.06 |
| M33 | Magdeburg · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +2.26 |
| M34 | Karlsruhe · Away18 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.90 | +0.36 |
| Total | 55 | +0.36 | |||