Points
36Points expected by the market
38.58Gap
−2.58Yield
−12.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 4 | −2.46 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 16 | −2.26 | −27.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 16 | +2.14 | +22.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.84 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −2.65 | −40.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.07 | +83.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.62 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.39 | +51.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 13 | +1.08 | +13.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Greuther Furth · Away4 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.04 |
| M2 | Hannover · Home11 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | −1.10 |
| M3 | Kaiserslautern · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −2.41 |
| M4 | Hamburg · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.69 | −3.10 |
| M5 | Paderborn · Home13 Sep 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.15 | −3.24 |
| M6 | Regensburg · Away22 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −1.45 |
| M7 | Schalke 04 · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −2.84 |
| M8 | Nurnberg · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −4.25 |
| M9 | Elversberg · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −4.60 |
| M10 | Braunschweig · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −4.60 |
| M11 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home1 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | −2.63 |
| M12 | Karlsruhe · Away10 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −2.52 |
| M13 | FC Koln · Home22 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | −3.42 |
| M14 | Darmstadt · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | −3.28 |
| M15 | Magdeburg · Home7 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −4.58 |
| M16 | Hertha · Away13 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.18 | −2.40 |
| M17 | Ulm · Home21 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | −2.99 |
| M18 | Greuther Furth · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −1.52 |
| M19 | Hannover · Away26 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.20 | −1.32 |
| M20 | Kaiserslautern · Away2 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.28 |
| M21 | Hamburg · Home7 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −3.38 |
| M22 | Paderborn · Away14 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −4.15 |
| M23 | Regensburg · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −2.69 |
| M24 | Schalke 04 · Away28 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −3.66 |
| M25 | Nurnberg · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −4.99 |
| M26 | Elversberg · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.20 | −2.79 |
| M27 | Braunschweig · Home30 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −3.45 |
| M28 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −4.49 |
| M29 | Karlsruhe · Home13 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −5.08 |
| M30 | FC Koln · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.64 | −5.72 |
| M31 | Darmstadt · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −5.96 |
| M32 | Magdeburg · Away2 May 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +2.33 | −3.63 |
| M33 | Hertha · Home9 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −1.96 |
| M34 | Ulm · Away18 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | −2.58 |
| Total | 36 | −2.58 | |||