Points
25Points expected by the market
30.00Gap
−5.00Yield
−32.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −2.80 | −58.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 28 | 20 | −2.21 | −26.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.64 | −50.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 18 | +7.06 | +71.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.16 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 2 | −9.26 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hannover · Away3 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.71 |
| M2 | Ulm · Home9 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.87 |
| M3 | Hertha · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +0.07 |
| M4 | Greuther Furth · Home30 Aug 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.19 |
| M5 | Hamburg · Away15 Sep 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.60 | −1.79 |
| M6 | Preußen Münster · Home22 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −3.31 |
| M7 | Kaiserslautern · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −3.44 |
| M8 | Paderborn · Away4 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.57 | −4.01 |
| M9 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −4.90 |
| M10 | Nurnberg · Away25 Oct 2024 | L 3-8 | 0 | −0.79 | −5.69 |
| M11 | Elversberg · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | −3.61 |
| M12 | Schalke 04 · Away10 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −4.34 |
| M13 | Magdeburg · Home24 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −5.39 |
| M14 | Braunschweig · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | −5.20 |
| M15 | FC Koln · Home8 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −5.87 |
| M16 | Karlsruhe · Away13 Dec 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.62 | −6.49 |
| M17 | Darmstadt · Home22 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.12 | −4.36 |
| M18 | Hannover · Home17 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −5.36 |
| M19 | Ulm · Away26 Jan 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.04 | −6.40 |
| M20 | Hertha · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.08 | −4.32 |
| M21 | Greuther Furth · Away7 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −5.28 |
| M22 | Hamburg · Home16 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | −5.04 |
| M23 | Preußen Münster · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −6.20 |
| M24 | Kaiserslautern · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −6.96 |
| M25 | Paderborn · Home9 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.21 | −6.76 |
| M26 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −7.55 |
| M27 | Nurnberg · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | −5.62 |
| M28 | Elversberg · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.52 | −6.14 |
| M29 | Schalke 04 · Home13 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.06 | −4.08 |
| M30 | Magdeburg · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.59 | −4.67 |
| M31 | Braunschweig · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −4.97 |
| M32 | FC Koln · Away3 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.63 | −4.34 |
| M33 | Karlsruhe · Home11 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | −4.39 |
| M34 | Darmstadt · Away18 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.61 | −5.00 |
| Total | 25 | −5.00 | |||