Points
38Points expected by the market
46.04Gap
−8.04Yield
−24.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 16 | −1.58 | −8.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 15 | −5.04 | −46.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −1.43 | −6.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | +0.81 | +14.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 6 | −3.75 | −68.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.80 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.38 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.29 | −28.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +0.38 | +20.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Braunschweig · Home3 Aug 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +1.23 |
| M2 | Nurnberg · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −0.30 |
| M3 | Magdeburg · Away25 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.58 |
| M4 | FC Koln · Home1 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −1.73 |
| M5 | Karlsruhe · Away13 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.81 |
| M6 | Darmstadt · Home20 Sep 2024 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.78 | −4.59 |
| M7 | Preußen Münster · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | −2.94 |
| M8 | Hertha · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −3.39 |
| M9 | Hannover · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | −4.34 |
| M10 | Greuther Furth · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.73 | −6.07 |
| M11 | Ulm · Away1 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −6.41 |
| M12 | Regensburg · Home10 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.95 | −5.46 |
| M13 | Hamburg · Away23 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.11 | −5.35 |
| M14 | Kaiserslautern · Home29 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −6.97 |
| M15 | Paderborn · Away6 Dec 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.13 | −4.84 |
| M16 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −5.24 |
| M17 | Elversberg · Away20 Dec 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.85 | −3.39 |
| M18 | Braunschweig · Away18 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −3.97 |
| M19 | Nurnberg · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −2.50 |
| M20 | Magdeburg · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.48 | −3.98 |
| M21 | FC Koln · Away9 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −4.93 |
| M22 | Karlsruhe · Home16 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −3.64 |
| M23 | Darmstadt · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −4.82 |
| M24 | Preußen Münster · Home28 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −3.58 |
| M25 | Hertha · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | −1.54 |
| M26 | Hannover · Home14 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −3.08 |
| M27 | Greuther Furth · Away30 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.38 | −3.46 |
| M28 | Ulm · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −2.24 |
| M29 | Regensburg · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.80 | −4.04 |
| M30 | Hamburg · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | −4.25 |
| M31 | Kaiserslautern · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −5.24 |
| M32 | Paderborn · Home2 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −6.22 |
| M33 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −7.21 |
| M34 | Elversberg · Home18 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −8.04 |
| Total | 38 | −8.04 | |||