Points
30Points expected by the market
36.82Gap
−6.82Yield
−44.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.25 | +3.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 19 | −1.61 | −26.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 8 | −4.96 | −72.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.25 | +3.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −1.79 | −24.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.10 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | +0.18 | −31.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 7 | −2.86 | −65.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kaiserslautern · Home4 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.28 |
| M2 | Regensburg · Away9 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −2.57 |
| M3 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home25 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −3.66 |
| M4 | Paderborn · Away1 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.28 | −3.38 |
| M5 | Nurnberg · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −4.96 |
| M6 | Elversberg · Away22 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.07 | −2.89 |
| M7 | Braunschweig · Home27 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −1.27 |
| M8 | FC Koln · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.48 | −1.74 |
| M9 | Karlsruhe · Home20 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.79 |
| M10 | Darmstadt · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.20 | −2.59 |
| M11 | Schalke 04 · Home1 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −2.95 |
| M12 | Magdeburg · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −2.92 |
| M13 | Hertha · Away23 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.29 | −2.63 |
| M14 | Greuther Furth · Home1 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −2.97 |
| M15 | Hannover · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −3.70 |
| M16 | Hamburg · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −3.67 |
| M17 | Preußen Münster · Away21 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −3.79 |
| M18 | Kaiserslautern · Away18 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −4.85 |
| M19 | Regensburg · Home26 Jan 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −3.51 |
| M20 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −4.42 |
| M21 | Paderborn · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −5.58 |
| M22 | Nurnberg · Away16 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −6.62 |
| M23 | Elversberg · Home22 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −6.84 |
| M24 | Braunschweig · Away1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −7.07 |
| M25 | FC Koln · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −8.16 |
| M26 | Karlsruhe · Away16 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | −8.24 |
| M27 | Darmstadt · Home28 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −6.43 |
| M28 | Schalke 04 · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −7.41 |
| M29 | Magdeburg · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −5.54 |
| M30 | Hertha · Home20 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −6.69 |
| M31 | Greuther Furth · Away25 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −4.79 |
| M32 | Hannover · Home3 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −6.14 |
| M33 | Hamburg · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.57 | −6.71 |
| M34 | Preußen Münster · Home18 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −6.82 |
| Total | 30 | −6.82 | |||