Points
44Points expected by the market
47.08Gap
−3.08Yield
−30.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.31 | −26.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 27 | +1.19 | −18.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.95 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 11 | −4.75 | −42.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 18 | +6.95 | +47.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.43 | +112.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 9 | −5.76 | −61.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.95 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Darmstadt · Away2 Aug 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.24 |
| M2 | Elversberg · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +0.30 |
| M3 | Schalke 04 · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −0.90 |
| M4 | Preußen Münster · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −2.51 |
| M5 | Paderborn · Away12 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | −3.48 |
| M6 | Nurnberg · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −4.65 |
| M7 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −6.18 |
| M8 | Kaiserslautern · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −7.27 |
| M9 | Hertha · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.63 | −5.64 |
| M10 | Holstein Kiel · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −5.65 |
| M11 | Magdeburg · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −4.16 |
| M12 | Braunschweig · Away9 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −2.69 |
| M13 | Dresden · Home21 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −4.42 |
| M14 | Greuther Furth · Away29 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −2.98 |
| M15 | Bielefeld · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −1.40 |
| M16 | Hannover · Away13 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | −1.33 |
| M17 | Karlsruhe · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.98 | −2.31 |
| M18 | Darmstadt · Home18 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.42 | −2.73 |
| M19 | Elversberg · Away25 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −2.77 |
| M20 | Schalke 04 · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −1.29 |
| M21 | Preußen Münster · Away6 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −1.63 |
| M22 | Paderborn · Home15 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −1.96 |
| M23 | Nurnberg · Home20 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −2.53 |
| M24 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away27 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.68 |
| M25 | Kaiserslautern · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.17 | −2.51 |
| M26 | Hertha · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −2.67 |
| M27 | Holstein Kiel · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.80 | −4.47 |
| M28 | Magdeburg · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.15 | −5.62 |
| M29 | Braunschweig · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −4.43 |
| M30 | Dresden · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −5.70 |
| M31 | Greuther Furth · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | −4.58 |
| M32 | Bielefeld · Away2 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −4.66 |
| M33 | Hannover · Home9 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −4.69 |
| M34 | Karlsruhe · Away17 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −3.08 |
| Total | 44 | −3.08 | |||