Points
37Points expected by the market
37.84Gap
−0.84Yield
−11.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.36 | +103.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 27 | +3.10 | +4.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 7 | −5.30 | −41.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.36 | +103.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 20 | +2.31 | −1.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.79 | +20.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 7 | −3.23 | −31.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Magdeburg · Away3 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | +2.14 |
| M2 | Greuther Furth · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.54 | +3.68 |
| M3 | Karlsruhe · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +2.73 |
| M4 | Bielefeld · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +2.45 |
| M5 | Darmstadt · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | +1.66 |
| M6 | Elversberg · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.56 |
| M7 | Preußen Münster · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −0.54 |
| M8 | Paderborn · Home3 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.57 |
| M9 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away17 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +0.44 |
| M10 | Hannover · Home26 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.60 |
| M11 | Nurnberg · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −1.45 |
| M12 | Bochum · Home9 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −2.66 |
| M13 | Hertha · Away21 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | −3.40 |
| M14 | Kaiserslautern · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −1.57 |
| M15 | Holstein Kiel · Home7 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −1.92 |
| M16 | Dresden · Away12 Dec 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.84 | −0.09 |
| M17 | Schalke 04 · Home21 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.70 |
| M18 | Magdeburg · Home16 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.22 | +0.48 |
| M19 | Greuther Furth · Away24 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.06 |
| M20 | Karlsruhe · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.42 |
| M21 | Bielefeld · Away8 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.92 | +0.50 |
| M22 | Darmstadt · Home14 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.35 |
| M23 | Elversberg · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.77 | −0.43 |
| M24 | Preußen Münster · Home1 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −1.84 |
| M25 | Paderborn · Away7 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | −1.59 |
| M26 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +0.18 |
| M27 | Hannover · Away20 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −0.58 |
| M28 | Nurnberg · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.88 |
| M29 | Bochum · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.94 | −1.82 |
| M30 | Hertha · Home19 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −2.01 |
| M31 | Kaiserslautern · Away24 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −0.25 |
| M32 | Holstein Kiel · Away2 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.53 |
| M33 | Dresden · Home9 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +0.07 |
| M34 | Schalke 04 · Away17 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.84 |
| Total | 37 | −0.84 | |||