Points
52Points expected by the market
50.06Gap
+1.94Yield
−22.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 31 | +6.26 | +14.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 20 | −3.31 | −42.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 30 | +8.44 | +33.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.48 | −54.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.18 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 15 | −1.82 | −37.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.02 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bochum · Home2 Aug 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.51 |
| M2 | Nurnberg · Away8 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +3.07 |
| M3 | Hertha · Home24 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | +2.37 |
| M4 | Kaiserslautern · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.52 | +0.84 |
| M5 | Braunschweig · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +1.84 |
| M6 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away21 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +3.47 |
| M7 | Dresden · Home26 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +4.57 |
| M8 | Holstein Kiel · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +4.28 |
| M9 | Magdeburg · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | +3.47 |
| M10 | Schalke 04 · Away24 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | +2.45 |
| M11 | Bielefeld · Home1 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | +1.82 |
| M12 | Hannover · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.87 | +3.69 |
| M13 | Greuther Furth · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.95 | +4.64 |
| M14 | Elversberg · Away30 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | +4.63 |
| M15 | Karlsruhe · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.12 | +5.75 |
| M16 | Preußen Münster · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +6.95 |
| M17 | Paderborn · Away19 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | +6.85 |
| M18 | Bochum · Away18 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.30 | +6.55 |
| M19 | Nurnberg · Home23 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +7.84 |
| M20 | Hertha · Away1 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | +7.69 |
| M21 | Kaiserslautern · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +9.04 |
| M22 | Braunschweig · Away14 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | +8.47 |
| M23 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +9.80 |
| M24 | Dresden · Away27 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.32 | +8.48 |
| M25 | Holstein Kiel · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +9.74 |
| M26 | Magdeburg · Away13 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +9.46 |
| M27 | Schalke 04 · Home21 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +9.07 |
| M28 | Bielefeld · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +7.79 |
| M29 | Hannover · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +6.48 |
| M30 | Greuther Furth · Away19 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.61 | +4.87 |
| M31 | Elversberg · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.25 | +4.62 |
| M32 | Karlsruhe · Away3 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | +3.20 |
| M33 | Preußen Münster · Away10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +2.97 |
| M34 | Paderborn · Home17 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +1.94 |
| Total | 52 | +1.94 | |||