Points
41Points expected by the market
43.28Gap
−2.28Yield
−13.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.68 | +20.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 14 | −10.73 | −63.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 14 | +5.78 | +69.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.68 | +20.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 11 | −3.87 | −36.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 3 | −6.87 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 14 | +5.78 | +69.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Greuther Furth · Away3 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.28 |
| M2 | Magdeburg · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −2.57 |
| M3 | Bielefeld · Away24 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.95 | −0.61 |
| M4 | Schalke 04 · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −2.21 |
| M5 | Elversberg · Away14 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | −2.27 |
| M6 | Hannover · Home21 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | −2.56 |
| M7 | Darmstadt · Away26 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −3.43 |
| M8 | Karlsruhe · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.54 | −3.97 |
| M9 | Preußen Münster · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −4.24 |
| M10 | Paderborn · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −5.32 |
| M11 | Hertha · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −6.20 |
| M12 | Nurnberg · Home7 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −7.57 |
| M13 | Bochum · Away21 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | −5.58 |
| M14 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −4.10 |
| M15 | Kaiserslautern · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −5.21 |
| M16 | Braunschweig · Home12 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.55 | −6.75 |
| M17 | Holstein Kiel · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −7.84 |
| M18 | Greuther Furth · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −6.56 |
| M19 | Magdeburg · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | −4.42 |
| M20 | Bielefeld · Home1 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −4.78 |
| M21 | Schalke 04 · Away7 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.07 | −4.71 |
| M22 | Elversberg · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −5.87 |
| M23 | Hannover · Away22 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.32 | −5.55 |
| M24 | Darmstadt · Home27 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −3.96 |
| M25 | Karlsruhe · Away8 Mar 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.48 | −4.44 |
| M26 | Preußen Münster · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −3.06 |
| M27 | Paderborn · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −3.98 |
| M28 | Hertha · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −5.34 |
| M29 | Nurnberg · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.97 | −3.38 |
| M30 | Bochum · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −1.85 |
| M31 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away24 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −3.11 |
| M32 | Kaiserslautern · Home2 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.00 | −2.11 |
| M33 | Braunschweig · Away9 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −3.43 |
| M34 | Holstein Kiel · Home17 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | −2.28 |
| Total | 41 | −2.28 | |||