Points
62Points expected by the market
55.22Gap
+6.78Yield
+6.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.36 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 37 | +4.90 | +12.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | −0.49 | −10.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.36 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 27 | +4.77 | +16.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.47 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | +0.14 | +4.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | −0.01 | −2.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nurnberg · Home2 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.33 |
| M2 | Bochum · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +0.06 |
| M3 | Kaiserslautern · Home22 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.45 |
| M4 | Hertha · Away29 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +3.36 |
| M5 | Dresden · Home14 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.69 | +2.67 |
| M6 | Braunschweig · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +4.03 |
| M7 | Holstein Kiel · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +5.44 |
| M8 | Magdeburg · Away5 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +7.07 |
| M9 | Greuther Furth · Home19 Oct 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +7.99 |
| M10 | Bielefeld · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | +6.47 |
| M11 | Hannover · Home31 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | +6.00 |
| M12 | Schalke 04 · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +4.66 |
| M13 | Karlsruhe · Away23 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.42 | +6.08 |
| M14 | Darmstadt · Home30 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | +5.33 |
| M15 | Paderborn · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +7.00 |
| M16 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +7.98 |
| M17 | Preußen Münster · Away21 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +7.44 |
| M18 | Nurnberg · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.34 | +6.10 |
| M19 | Bochum · Home25 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +5.40 |
| M20 | Kaiserslautern · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +6.91 |
| M21 | Hertha · Home7 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.59 | +5.33 |
| M22 | Dresden · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +6.76 |
| M23 | Braunschweig · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +7.76 |
| M24 | Holstein Kiel · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +7.18 |
| M25 | Magdeburg · Home6 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +8.42 |
| M26 | Greuther Furth · Away13 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.89 | +6.53 |
| M27 | Bielefeld · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +7.84 |
| M28 | Hannover · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +7.61 |
| M29 | Schalke 04 · Home12 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.62 | +6.00 |
| M30 | Karlsruhe · Home17 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +6.87 |
| M31 | Darmstadt · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.50 | +6.37 |
| M32 | Paderborn · Home3 May 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +7.82 |
| M33 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away10 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.60 | +6.22 |
| M34 | Preußen Münster · Home17 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +6.78 |
| Total | 62 | +6.78 | |||