Points
37Points expected by the market
44.30Gap
−7.30Yield
−13.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 11 | −0.75 | −14.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 23 | −2.37 | +1.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −4.18 | −45.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.10 | −0.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | −1.00 | −2.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.65 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.37 | +6.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −4.18 | −45.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bielefeld · Away2 Aug 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.38 | −1.38 |
| M2 | Hannover · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −2.78 |
| M3 | Paderborn · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.14 | −0.64 |
| M4 | Karlsruhe · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | −1.15 |
| M5 | Preußen Münster · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.57 |
| M6 | Darmstadt · Home21 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −0.80 |
| M7 | Bochum · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +1.00 |
| M8 | Nurnberg · Home3 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −0.44 |
| M9 | Braunschweig · Home17 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | −2.20 |
| M10 | Hertha · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −3.15 |
| M11 | Kaiserslautern · Home2 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −3.55 |
| M12 | Holstein Kiel · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −4.47 |
| M13 | Magdeburg · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | −3.04 |
| M14 | Dresden · Away30 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −4.25 |
| M15 | Schalke 04 · Home5 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −5.40 |
| M16 | Elversberg · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | −6.16 |
| M17 | Greuther Furth · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −4.97 |
| M18 | Bielefeld · Home16 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −3.37 |
| M19 | Hannover · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −4.27 |
| M20 | Paderborn · Home1 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −2.52 |
| M21 | Karlsruhe · Away8 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −3.17 |
| M22 | Preußen Münster · Home13 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | −3.92 |
| M23 | Darmstadt · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −4.98 |
| M24 | Bochum · Home27 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | −3.56 |
| M25 | Nurnberg · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −1.83 |
| M26 | Braunschweig · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −3.32 |
| M27 | Hertha · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.46 | −4.78 |
| M28 | Kaiserslautern · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −6.19 |
| M29 | Holstein Kiel · Home10 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −7.82 |
| M30 | Magdeburg · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −8.81 |
| M31 | Dresden · Home24 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −7.29 |
| M32 | Schalke 04 · Away2 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.73 | −8.02 |
| M33 | Elversberg · Home10 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −6.16 |
| M34 | Greuther Furth · Away17 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −7.30 |
| Total | 37 | −7.30 | |||