Points
37Points expected by the market
35.09Gap
+1.91Yield
+12.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.39 | +103.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 15 | −1.25 | −12.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 19 | +1.77 | +24.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.39 | +103.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −0.64 | −11.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 9 | +2.52 | +17.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −0.61 | −15.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 10 | −0.75 | +28.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dresden · Home3 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.56 |
| M2 | Braunschweig · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.28 | +0.28 |
| M3 | Holstein Kiel · Home24 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.00 |
| M4 | Magdeburg · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 5-4 | 3 | +1.94 | +0.94 |
| M5 | Kaiserslautern · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.46 | −0.52 |
| M6 | Bielefeld · Away19 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.10 | +1.59 |
| M7 | Schalke 04 · Away26 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | +0.66 |
| M8 | Hannover · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.72 |
| M9 | Elversberg · Away19 Oct 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.72 | 0.00 |
| M10 | Karlsruhe · Home24 Oct 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.13 | −1.13 |
| M11 | Paderborn · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.55 | −1.68 |
| M12 | Preußen Münster · Home7 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −0.05 |
| M13 | Darmstadt · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.73 | −0.78 |
| M14 | Bochum · Home29 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.96 |
| M15 | Nurnberg · Away7 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.11 | −1.85 |
| M16 | Hertha · Home12 Dec 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.02 | −1.83 |
| M17 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.77 |
| M18 | Dresden · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.79 |
| M19 | Braunschweig · Home24 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −4.08 |
| M20 | Holstein Kiel · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.17 | −1.91 |
| M21 | Magdeburg · Home6 Feb 2026 | L 4-5 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.81 |
| M22 | Kaiserslautern · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −3.67 |
| M23 | Bielefeld · Home20 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | −1.65 |
| M24 | Schalke 04 · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −1.52 |
| M25 | Hannover · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.46 | +0.95 |
| M26 | Elversberg · Home13 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +3.07 |
| M27 | Karlsruhe · Away20 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.90 |
| M28 | Paderborn · Home5 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +0.96 |
| M29 | Preußen Münster · Away11 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.86 |
| M30 | Darmstadt · Home19 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.86 | +2.72 |
| M31 | Bochum · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | +1.85 |
| M32 | Nurnberg · Home3 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.50 |
| M33 | Hertha · Away10 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +0.52 |
| M34 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home17 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.91 |
| Total | 37 | +1.91 | |||