Points
60Points expected by the market
57.09Gap
+2.91Yield
−0.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 6 | −4.77 | −71.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 28 | −0.39 | −8.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 26 | +8.07 | +37.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 6 | −4.77 | −71.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 19 | +1.16 | +9.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.55 | −38.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 24 | +9.10 | +62.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kaiserslautern · Home3 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.44 |
| M2 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.09 |
| M3 | Magdeburg · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +4.50 |
| M4 | Holstein Kiel · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +6.18 |
| M5 | Hertha · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.92 | +4.26 |
| M6 | Dresden · Away21 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | +3.81 |
| M7 | Bielefeld · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +5.05 |
| M8 | Greuther Furth · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.82 | +4.23 |
| M9 | Schalke 04 · Home17 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.71 | +2.52 |
| M10 | Braunschweig · Away26 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +3.83 |
| M11 | Elversberg · Away31 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | +3.55 |
| M12 | Darmstadt · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.60 | +1.95 |
| M13 | Paderborn · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +3.78 |
| M14 | Karlsruhe · Home28 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +4.63 |
| M15 | Preußen Münster · Away5 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.83 | +3.80 |
| M16 | Bochum · Home13 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | +2.99 |
| M17 | Nurnberg · Away21 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | +1.34 |
| M18 | Kaiserslautern · Away18 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −0.19 |
| M19 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +0.95 |
| M20 | Magdeburg · Away30 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +2.59 |
| M21 | Holstein Kiel · Home8 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +3.58 |
| M22 | Hertha · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.53 | +5.11 |
| M23 | Dresden · Home22 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.12 | +3.99 |
| M24 | Bielefeld · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +5.56 |
| M25 | Greuther Furth · Home8 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.29 | +3.28 |
| M26 | Schalke 04 · Away15 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | +3.16 |
| M27 | Braunschweig · Home20 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +4.13 |
| M28 | Elversberg · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +3.62 |
| M29 | Darmstadt · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +5.20 |
| M30 | Paderborn · Home18 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +4.68 |
| M31 | Karlsruhe · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +5.85 |
| M32 | Preußen Münster · Home3 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.15 | +4.71 |
| M33 | Bochum · Away9 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | +3.98 |
| M34 | Nurnberg · Home17 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.07 | +2.91 |
| Total | 60 | +2.91 | |||