Points
51Points expected by the market
50.56Gap
+0.44Yield
+1.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 25 | −4.59 | −36.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 22 | +3.77 | +36.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.26 | +51.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 22 | −2.61 | −22.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −3.05 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.98 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 21 | +6.82 | +73.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.26 | +51.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Schalke 04 · Away1 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.49 |
| M2 | Karlsruhe · Home10 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | −2.28 |
| M3 | Darmstadt · Away24 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | −2.32 |
| M4 | Elversberg · Home29 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −3.97 |
| M5 | Hannover · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.15 | −1.82 |
| M6 | Paderborn · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −3.19 |
| M7 | Nurnberg · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −1.43 |
| M8 | Preußen Münster · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −0.15 |
| M9 | Bochum · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −1.51 |
| M10 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −0.32 |
| M11 | Dresden · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +0.79 |
| M12 | Kaiserslautern · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +2.53 |
| M13 | Braunschweig · Home21 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +3.50 |
| M14 | Holstein Kiel · Away29 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +5.25 |
| M15 | Magdeburg · Home7 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.86 | +3.39 |
| M16 | Greuther Furth · Away12 Dec 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.77 | +2.62 |
| M17 | Bielefeld · Home19 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +1.93 |
| M18 | Schalke 04 · Home17 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | +1.51 |
| M19 | Karlsruhe · Away24 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | +0.84 |
| M20 | Darmstadt · Home1 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | +0.26 |
| M21 | Elversberg · Away7 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +2.11 |
| M22 | Hannover · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +0.85 |
| M23 | Paderborn · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.36 |
| M24 | Nurnberg · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.07 |
| M25 | Preußen Münster · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +2.60 |
| M26 | Bochum · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +2.03 |
| M27 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.72 | +3.75 |
| M28 | Dresden · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +5.38 |
| M29 | Kaiserslautern · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.84 | +3.55 |
| M30 | Braunschweig · Away19 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +3.00 |
| M31 | Holstein Kiel · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.83 | +1.17 |
| M32 | Magdeburg · Away3 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.08 |
| M33 | Greuther Furth · Home10 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.29 |
| M34 | Bielefeld · Away17 May 2026 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.85 | +0.44 |
| Total | 51 | +0.44 | |||