Points
41Points expected by the market
45.46Gap
−4.46Yield
−12.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 11 | −1.09 | −18.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 24 | −4.81 | −26.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 6 | +1.44 | +58.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.50 | −4.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 11 | −4.06 | −31.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.60 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −0.75 | −22.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 6 | +1.44 | +58.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Paderborn · Away2 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.22 |
| M2 | Bielefeld · Home10 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −2.69 |
| M3 | Greuther Furth · Away24 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −1.15 |
| M4 | Hannover · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −2.57 |
| M5 | Schalke 04 · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −0.75 |
| M6 | Karlsruhe · Home21 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +0.57 |
| M7 | Elversberg · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.58 |
| M8 | Darmstadt · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −1.02 |
| M9 | Nurnberg · Away19 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −1.36 |
| M10 | Bochum · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −2.10 |
| M11 | Preußen Münster · Away31 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −3.69 |
| M12 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −2.53 |
| M13 | Kaiserslautern · Away23 Nov 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.26 | −3.79 |
| M14 | Hertha · Home29 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −5.27 |
| M15 | Braunschweig · Away7 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −5.63 |
| M16 | Magdeburg · Away13 Dec 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.13 | −5.76 |
| M17 | Dresden · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | −4.40 |
| M18 | Paderborn · Home18 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −2.62 |
| M19 | Bielefeld · Away23 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −2.83 |
| M20 | Greuther Furth · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.93 | −4.76 |
| M21 | Hannover · Away8 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −5.50 |
| M22 | Schalke 04 · Home15 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −6.74 |
| M23 | Karlsruhe · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −8.07 |
| M24 | Elversberg · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −8.23 |
| M25 | Darmstadt · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −9.24 |
| M26 | Nurnberg · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.48 | −10.72 |
| M27 | Bochum · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.04 | −8.67 |
| M28 | Preußen Münster · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | −9.34 |
| M29 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away10 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | −7.45 |
| M30 | Kaiserslautern · Home17 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −5.96 |
| M31 | Hertha · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −3.89 |
| M32 | Braunschweig · Home2 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −2.33 |
| M33 | Magdeburg · Home9 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.54 |
| M34 | Dresden · Away17 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −4.46 |
| Total | 41 | −4.46 | |||