Points
52Points expected by the market
43.57Gap
+8.43Yield
+29.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 15 | +4.93 | +60.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 27 | −1.14 | −2.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 10 | +4.63 | +114.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 15 | +6.49 | +93.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +1.08 | +20.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.05 | +288.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.56 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 11 | −2.21 | −26.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.59 | +79.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hannover · Away3 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.18 |
| M2 | Schalke 04 · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.41 |
| M3 | Elversberg · Away22 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −0.72 |
| M4 | Darmstadt · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +1.08 |
| M5 | Greuther Furth · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +2.80 |
| M6 | Preußen Münster · Home19 Sep 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +4.14 |
| M7 | Paderborn · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +3.04 |
| M8 | Bochum · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.34 | +4.38 |
| M9 | Karlsruhe · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.66 | +6.04 |
| M10 | Nurnberg · Home26 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +5.56 |
| M11 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away2 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +5.21 |
| M12 | Hertha · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | +3.74 |
| M13 | Holstein Kiel · Home23 Nov 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +5.27 |
| M14 | Braunschweig · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +3.71 |
| M15 | Dresden · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +5.07 |
| M16 | Bielefeld · Away13 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | +4.95 |
| M17 | Magdeburg · Home20 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.47 | +3.48 |
| M18 | Hannover · Home18 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +5.28 |
| M19 | Schalke 04 · Away25 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | +5.26 |
| M20 | Elversberg · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +4.02 |
| M21 | Darmstadt · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.08 | +2.94 |
| M22 | Greuther Furth · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +4.04 |
| M23 | Preußen Münster · Away22 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.72 | +5.76 |
| M24 | Paderborn · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +4.64 |
| M25 | Bochum · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.93 | +3.71 |
| M26 | Karlsruhe · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +5.07 |
| M27 | Nurnberg · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +3.91 |
| M28 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +5.57 |
| M29 | Hertha · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.07 | +7.64 |
| M30 | Holstein Kiel · Away17 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.22 | +6.42 |
| M31 | Braunschweig · Home24 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +4.91 |
| M32 | Dresden · Away2 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | +4.13 |
| M33 | Bielefeld · Home8 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +6.17 |
| M34 | Magdeburg · Away17 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.25 | +8.43 |
| Total | 52 | +8.43 | |||