Points
44Points expected by the market
39.02Gap
+4.98Yield
−7.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 15 | +6.76 | +99.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 20 | −1.78 | −25.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 9 | 0.00 | −27.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 12 | +5.37 | +99.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +3.01 | +11.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.38 | +103.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 2 | −4.80 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 9 | +0.94 | −19.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Preußen Münster · Home2 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.39 |
| M2 | Hertha · Away10 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | +1.42 |
| M3 | Braunschweig · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +2.60 |
| M4 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +2.37 |
| M5 | Nurnberg · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +3.74 |
| M6 | Holstein Kiel · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.06 | +2.68 |
| M7 | Magdeburg · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +4.23 |
| M8 | Dresden · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.20 | +4.03 |
| M9 | Kaiserslautern · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +2.63 |
| M10 | Greuther Furth · Away24 Oct 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +4.01 |
| M11 | Schalke 04 · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +5.79 |
| M12 | Bielefeld · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.10 | +4.68 |
| M13 | Elversberg · Home23 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +3.54 |
| M14 | Hannover · Away28 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.66 | +2.88 |
| M15 | Darmstadt · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +2.00 |
| M16 | Paderborn · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.90 |
| M17 | Bochum · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.20 | +1.10 |
| M18 | Preußen Münster · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +3.14 |
| M19 | Hertha · Home24 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | +3.06 |
| M20 | Braunschweig · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | +1.96 |
| M21 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home8 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | +1.87 |
| M22 | Nurnberg · Away13 Feb 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.90 | +0.97 |
| M23 | Holstein Kiel · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +2.57 |
| M24 | Magdeburg · Away1 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.10 | +4.68 |
| M25 | Dresden · Home8 Mar 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.25 | +4.43 |
| M26 | Kaiserslautern · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.10 | +3.33 |
| M27 | Greuther Furth · Home20 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +4.76 |
| M28 | Schalke 04 · Away5 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | +4.05 |
| M29 | Bielefeld · Home10 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +5.92 |
| M30 | Elversberg · Away17 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.68 | +5.24 |
| M31 | Hannover · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.94 | +4.30 |
| M32 | Darmstadt · Home3 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +5.96 |
| M33 | Paderborn · Away8 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.39 | +6.35 |
| M34 | Bochum · Home17 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +4.98 |
| Total | 44 | +4.98 | |||