Points
39Points expected by the market
49.08Gap
−10.08Yield
−19.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.05 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 25 | +1.17 | +13.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 10 | −8.35 | −48.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.85 | −16.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.05 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 16 | −2.88 | −9.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 1 | −4.68 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.01 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +4.06 | +100.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 9 | −3.66 | −27.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.15 | +4.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Braunschweig · Home3 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.91 | −1.91 |
| M2 | Dresden · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −0.36 |
| M3 | Hannover · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.51 |
| M4 | Greuther Furth · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 4-5 | 0 | −1.70 | −3.21 |
| M5 | Bielefeld · Away12 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −4.35 |
| M6 | Schalke 04 · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −5.82 |
| M7 | Karlsruhe · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −7.12 |
| M8 | Elversberg · Home5 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.37 | −8.49 |
| M9 | Darmstadt · Away19 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.06 | −8.43 |
| M10 | Preußen Münster · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −7.15 |
| M11 | Bochum · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −8.39 |
| M12 | Paderborn · Home9 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −9.40 |
| M13 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −10.57 |
| M14 | Nurnberg · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −9.11 |
| M15 | Hertha · Away7 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.10 | −7.02 |
| M16 | Holstein Kiel · Home13 Dec 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.61 | −7.63 |
| M17 | Kaiserslautern · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.73 | −5.90 |
| M18 | Braunschweig · Away16 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −4.42 |
| M19 | Dresden · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | −6.33 |
| M20 | Hannover · Home30 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −7.70 |
| M21 | Greuther Furth · Away6 Feb 2026 | W 5-4 | 3 | +1.14 | −6.56 |
| M22 | Bielefeld · Home15 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −8.17 |
| M23 | Schalke 04 · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.11 | −9.28 |
| M24 | Karlsruhe · Home1 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.88 | −11.16 |
| M25 | Elversberg · Away6 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −12.17 |
| M26 | Darmstadt · Home13 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −12.64 |
| M27 | Preußen Münster · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.46 | −11.18 |
| M28 | Bochum · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −9.77 |
| M29 | Paderborn · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.99 | −10.76 |
| M30 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −9.52 |
| M31 | Nurnberg · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −10.82 |
| M32 | Hertha · Home3 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −9.49 |
| M33 | Holstein Kiel · Away9 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.46 | −8.03 |
| M34 | Kaiserslautern · Home17 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.05 | −10.08 |
| Total | 39 | −10.08 | |||