Points
46Points expected by the market
45.43Gap
+0.57Yield
−15.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.88 | +8.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 31 | +1.42 | −8.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.73 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.88 | +8.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 17 | +3.35 | +28.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 14 | −1.93 | −37.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.73 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Elversberg · Away2 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.07 |
| M2 | Darmstadt · Home8 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.38 |
| M3 | Preußen Münster · Away22 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.54 |
| M4 | Paderborn · Home29 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −3.71 |
| M5 | Karlsruhe · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −4.83 |
| M6 | Bochum · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | −3.40 |
| M7 | Hertha · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.50 | −4.90 |
| M8 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away3 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.70 | −3.19 |
| M9 | Holstein Kiel · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −3.59 |
| M10 | Kaiserslautern · Away26 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −3.85 |
| M11 | Braunschweig · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | −2.75 |
| M12 | Dresden · Away7 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −1.11 |
| M13 | Bielefeld · Home23 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.39 |
| M14 | Magdeburg · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.81 |
| M15 | Greuther Furth · Home7 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | −1.68 |
| M16 | Schalke 04 · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.65 |
| M17 | Hannover · Home21 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −0.73 |
| M18 | Elversberg · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.89 |
| M19 | Darmstadt · Away23 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.13 |
| M20 | Preußen Münster · Home30 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −0.73 |
| M21 | Paderborn · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.76 |
| M22 | Karlsruhe · Home13 Feb 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.13 | −0.63 |
| M23 | Bochum · Away20 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.79 |
| M24 | Hertha · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.96 |
| M25 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home7 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −3.42 |
| M26 | Holstein Kiel · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.76 | −1.67 |
| M27 | Kaiserslautern · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −0.25 |
| M28 | Braunschweig · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.68 |
| M29 | Dresden · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −2.40 |
| M30 | Bielefeld · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −2.47 |
| M31 | Magdeburg · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −0.91 |
| M32 | Greuther Furth · Away3 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −1.29 |
| M33 | Schalke 04 · Home9 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.29 |
| M34 | Hannover · Away17 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.57 |
| Total | 46 | +0.57 | |||