Points
62Points expected by the market
56.06Gap
+5.94Yield
+0.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.48 | −33.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 45 | +11.75 | +36.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 13 | −5.33 | −46.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.48 | −33.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 23 | +3.28 | +14.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.13 | +11.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 22 | +8.47 | +67.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 7 | −5.47 | −71.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Holstein Kiel · Home2 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.49 |
| M2 | Preußen Münster · Away8 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +0.95 |
| M3 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | −0.96 |
| M4 | Nurnberg · Away29 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −1.54 |
| M5 | Bochum · Home12 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −0.33 |
| M6 | Hertha · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.31 |
| M7 | Kaiserslautern · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +2.67 |
| M8 | Braunschweig · Away3 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +3.96 |
| M9 | Bielefeld · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.10 | +5.06 |
| M10 | Dresden · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +6.39 |
| M11 | Greuther Furth · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.73 | +7.12 |
| M12 | Magdeburg · Away9 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +8.37 |
| M13 | Hannover · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +6.80 |
| M14 | Schalke 04 · Away28 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | +5.52 |
| M15 | Elversberg · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | +4.12 |
| M16 | Karlsruhe · Away13 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +5.47 |
| M17 | Darmstadt · Home19 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | +4.83 |
| M18 | Holstein Kiel · Away18 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | +3.33 |
| M19 | Preußen Münster · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +4.39 |
| M20 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away1 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +2.92 |
| M21 | Nurnberg · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +4.20 |
| M22 | Bochum · Away15 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +3.81 |
| M23 | Hertha · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.48 | +5.28 |
| M24 | Kaiserslautern · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +6.66 |
| M25 | Braunschweig · Home7 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | +5.64 |
| M26 | Bielefeld · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | +5.14 |
| M27 | Dresden · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +6.31 |
| M28 | Greuther Furth · Away5 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +7.49 |
| M29 | Magdeburg · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.23 | +8.72 |
| M30 | Hannover · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +8.50 |
| M31 | Schalke 04 · Home26 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.43 | +7.06 |
| M32 | Elversberg · Away3 May 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.19 | +5.88 |
| M33 | Karlsruhe · Home8 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.21 | +4.67 |
| M34 | Darmstadt · Away17 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +5.94 |
| Total | 62 | +5.94 | |||