Points
30Points expected by the market
39.76Gap
−9.76Yield
−47.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.11 | −15.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 16 | −7.25 | −51.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −2.40 | −56.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.11 | −15.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 8 | −5.97 | −70.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −1.27 | −25.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −2.48 | −51.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Karlsruhe · Away2 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.12 |
| M2 | Paderborn · Home8 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −1.30 |
| M3 | Nurnberg · Home22 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +0.14 |
| M4 | Bochum · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +2.02 |
| M5 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +0.58 |
| M6 | Kaiserslautern · Away19 Sep 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.07 | −0.49 |
| M7 | Braunschweig · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +0.88 |
| M8 | Hertha · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.14 |
| M9 | Dresden · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.62 |
| M10 | Magdeburg · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.65 |
| M11 | Holstein Kiel · Home31 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +0.22 |
| M12 | Greuther Furth · Away7 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −1.15 |
| M13 | Schalke 04 · Home22 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −1.30 |
| M14 | Bielefeld · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | +0.81 |
| M15 | Hannover · Home5 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.89 |
| M16 | Darmstadt · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.05 |
| M17 | Elversberg · Home21 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.23 |
| M18 | Karlsruhe · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.78 | −2.02 |
| M19 | Paderborn · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −2.83 |
| M20 | Nurnberg · Away30 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −2.95 |
| M21 | Bochum · Home6 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −3.32 |
| M22 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away13 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | −3.31 |
| M23 | Kaiserslautern · Home22 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.43 | −4.74 |
| M24 | Braunschweig · Away1 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | −3.05 |
| M25 | Hertha · Home8 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −4.31 |
| M26 | Dresden · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 0-6 | 0 | −1.10 | −5.41 |
| M27 | Magdeburg · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −6.61 |
| M28 | Holstein Kiel · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | −6.68 |
| M29 | Greuther Furth · Home11 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −7.30 |
| M30 | Schalke 04 · Away19 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.72 | −8.02 |
| M31 | Bielefeld · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −9.16 |
| M32 | Hannover · Away3 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.35 | −8.81 |
| M33 | Darmstadt · Home10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −9.34 |
| M34 | Elversberg · Away17 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.42 | −9.76 |
| Total | 30 | −9.76 | |||