Points
70Points expected by the market
52.12Gap
+17.88Yield
+42.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.92 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 31 | +6.21 | +16.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 33 | +8.78 | +50.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.97 | +265.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.92 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 27 | +5.67 | +17.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 12 | +6.44 | +153.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.54 | +8.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +2.34 | +20.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.97 | +265.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hertha · Home1 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +1.76 |
| M2 | Kaiserslautern · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.44 |
| M3 | Bochum · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.91 |
| M4 | Dresden · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +3.78 |
| M5 | Holstein Kiel · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | +2.23 |
| M6 | Magdeburg · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +3.97 |
| M7 | Greuther Furth · Home26 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +5.14 |
| M8 | Bielefeld · Away5 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +6.74 |
| M9 | Hannover · Away17 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +8.71 |
| M10 | Darmstadt · Home24 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +9.99 |
| M11 | Karlsruhe · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | +8.49 |
| M12 | Elversberg · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +10.13 |
| M13 | Preußen Münster · Away22 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | +9.57 |
| M14 | Paderborn · Home28 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +11.16 |
| M15 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Away5 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +12.59 |
| M16 | Nurnberg · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +13.81 |
| M17 | Braunschweig · Away21 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | +12.31 |
| M18 | Hertha · Away17 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +12.02 |
| M19 | Kaiserslautern · Home25 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | +11.32 |
| M20 | Bochum · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +10.13 |
| M21 | Dresden · Home7 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | +9.32 |
| M22 | Holstein Kiel · Away15 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +10.85 |
| M23 | Magdeburg · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.38 | +12.23 |
| M24 | Greuther Furth · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | +11.34 |
| M25 | Bielefeld · Home6 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +12.58 |
| M26 | Hannover · Home15 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | +11.96 |
| M27 | Darmstadt · Away21 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +11.63 |
| M28 | Karlsruhe · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +12.55 |
| M29 | Elversberg · Away12 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +14.43 |
| M30 | Preußen Münster · Home19 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +15.39 |
| M31 | Paderborn · Away26 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.72 | +17.10 |
| M32 | Fortuna Dusseldorf · Home2 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +18.06 |
| M33 | Nurnberg · Away9 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.33 | +16.74 |
| M34 | Braunschweig · Home17 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +17.88 |
| Total | 70 | +17.88 | |||