Points
10Points expected by the market
10.83Gap
−0.83Yield
+6.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −2.91 | −31.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.08 | +309.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.51 | +10.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 0 | −3.42 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.08 | +309.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Magdeburg · Away8 Aug 2026 | W 6-1 | 3 | +2.08 | +2.08 |
| M2 | Bochum · Home14 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.69 |
| M3 | Hertha · Home28 Aug 2026 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.60 |
| M4 | Osnabruck · Away6 Sep 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.81 |
| M5 | Dresden · Home12 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −2.11 |
| M6 | Kaiserslautern · Away19 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −3.16 |
| M7 | Holstein Kiel · Home9 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −1.44 |
| M8 | Greuther Furth · Away17 Oct 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −2.61 |
| M9 | Hannover · Home25 Oct 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −0.83 |
| Total | 10 | −0.83 | |||