← 2. Bundesliga 2026-27

Holstein Kiel

Season 2026-27 · 9 matches played

Last 5LDLDW

Points

8

Points expected by the market

12.48

Gap

−4.48

Yield

−75.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M2M3M4M5M6M7M8M9

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 2 2 3.35 −1.35 −100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 7 6 9.14 −3.14 −68.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more 0 — — — —

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Darmstadt · Away8 Aug 2026 8 Aug 2026 D 2-2 2.87 1.22 1 −0.22 −0.22 −€1.00
M2 St Pauli · Home14 Aug 2026 14 Aug 2026 D 2-2 2.56 1.35 1 −0.35 −0.57 −€1.00
M3 Magdeburg · Away30 Aug 2026 30 Aug 2026 L 0-2 2.92 1.20 0 −1.20 −1.77 −€1.00
M4 Nurnberg · Home5 Sep 2026 5 Sep 2026 D 2-2 2.09 1.58 1 −0.58 −2.35 −€1.00
M5 Heidenheim · Away13 Sep 2026 13 Sep 2026 L 0-1 2.98 1.18 0 −1.18 −3.53 −€1.00
M6 Osnabruck · Home19 Sep 2026 19 Sep 2026 D 1-1 1.83 1.77 1 −0.77 −4.30 −€1.00
M7 Braunschweig · Away9 Oct 2026 9 Oct 2026 L 0-1 2.27 1.47 0 −1.47 −5.76 −€1.00
M8 Hertha · Home16 Oct 2026 16 Oct 2026 D 0-0 2.82 1.22 1 −0.22 −5.99 −€1.00
M9 Dresden · Home25 Oct 2026 25 Oct 2026 W 3-0 2.23 1.50 3 +1.50 −4.48 +€1.23
Total 12.48 8 −4.48 −€6.77