← Allsvenskan 2019

AFC Eskilstuna

Season 2019 · 30 matches played

Last 5LDWDL

Points

Points expected by the market

24.91

Gap

−4.91

Yield

−49.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	8	8	10.54	−2.54	−68.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	22	12	14.37	−2.37	−42.5%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	8	9.41	−1.41	−63.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	8	7	5.72	+1.28	−7.1%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	1	0	1.13	−1.13	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	14	5	8.65	−3.65	−62.8%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Goteborg · Home31 Mar 2019	31 Mar 2019	W 3-1	2.56	1.41	3	+1.59	+1.59	+€1.56
M2	Sirius · Away8 Apr 2019	8 Apr 2019	L 2-3	3.38	1.13	0	−1.13	+0.45	−€1.00
M3	Orebro · Home12 Apr 2019	12 Apr 2019	D 1-1	2.35	1.50	1	−0.50	−0.04	−€1.00
M4	Hammarby · Away21 Apr 2019	21 Apr 2019	L 1-3	8.18	0.55	0	−0.55	−0.59	−€1.00
M5	Ostersunds · Home24 Apr 2019	24 Apr 2019	L 0-1	2.93	1.26	0	−1.26	−1.85	−€1.00
M6	Hacken · Away28 Apr 2019	28 Apr 2019	L 0-3	10.13	0.46	0	−0.46	−2.31	−€1.00
M7	AIK · Away4 May 2019	4 May 2019	L 1-2	7.22	0.64	0	−0.64	−2.95	−€1.00
M8	Falkenbergs · Home11 May 2019	11 May 2019	D 0-0	2.25	1.55	1	−0.55	−3.50	−€1.00
M9	Elfsborg · Away15 May 2019	15 May 2019	L 0-1	6.11	0.70	0	−0.70	−4.20	−€1.00
M10	Helsingborg · Home18 May 2019	18 May 2019	D 1-1	2.94	1.26	1	−0.26	−4.46	−€1.00
M11	Malmo FF · Away25 May 2019	25 May 2019	L 0-5	9.20	0.50	0	−0.50	−4.96	−€1.00
M12	Norrkoping · Home2 Jun 2019	2 Jun 2019	L 0-2	5.55	0.75	0	−0.75	−5.71	−€1.00
M13	Sundsvall · Away29 Jun 2019	29 Jun 2019	D 0-0	3.96	1.03	1	−0.03	−5.74	−€1.00
M14	Djurgarden · Home8 Jul 2019	8 Jul 2019	D 1-1	6.39	0.69	1	+0.31	−5.43	−€1.00
M15	Kalmar · Home13 Jul 2019	13 Jul 2019	W 3-1	3.69	1.07	3	+1.93	−3.51	+€2.69
M16	Goteborg · Away21 Jul 2019	21 Jul 2019	L 0-1	7.55	0.60	0	−0.60	−4.11	−€1.00
M17	Hammarby · Home27 Jul 2019	27 Jul 2019	L 1-6	6.64	0.64	0	−0.64	−4.74	−€1.00
M18	Ostersunds · Away3 Aug 2019	3 Aug 2019	W 2-1	5.21	0.79	3	+2.21	−2.53	+€4.21
M19	AIK · Home11 Aug 2019	11 Aug 2019	L 2-4	7.14	0.65	0	−0.65	−3.18	−€1.00
M20	Djurgarden · Away19 Aug 2019	19 Aug 2019	L 0-3	18.06	0.28	0	−0.28	−3.46	−€1.00
M21	Hacken · Home25 Aug 2019	25 Aug 2019	L 0-2	8.60	0.52	0	−0.52	−3.99	−€1.00
M22	Orebro · Away31 Aug 2019	31 Aug 2019	L 1-3	5.32	0.78	0	−0.78	−4.77	−€1.00
M23	Elfsborg · Home16 Sep 2019	16 Sep 2019	D 2-2	3.35	1.12	1	−0.12	−4.88	−€1.00
M24	Helsingborg · Away22 Sep 2019	22 Sep 2019	L 1-2	6.25	0.68	0	−0.68	−5.56	−€1.00
M25	Norrkoping · Away26 Sep 2019	26 Sep 2019	L 0-4	14.06	0.34	0	−0.34	−5.90	−€1.00
M26	Malmo FF · Home29 Sep 2019	29 Sep 2019	L 0-1	13.00	0.36	0	−0.36	−6.27	−€1.00
M27	Kalmar · Away6 Oct 2019	6 Oct 2019	D 0-0	8.90	0.52	1	+0.48	−5.79	−€1.00
M28	Sundsvall · Home18 Oct 2019	18 Oct 2019	W 1-0	3.74	1.03	3	+1.97	−3.82	+€2.74
M29	Sirius · Home27 Oct 2019	27 Oct 2019	D 0-0	2.76	1.31	1	−0.31	−4.13	−€1.00
M30	Falkenbergs · Away2 Nov 2019	2 Nov 2019	L 0-1	5.09	0.78	0	−0.78	−4.91	−€1.00
Total					24.91	20	−4.91		−€14.80