← Allsvenskan 2019

Falkenbergs

Season 2019 · 30 matches played

Last 5LLLWW

Points

Points expected by the market

29.22

Gap

−4.22

Yield

−45.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	9	5.30	+3.70	+90.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	8	10	10.12	−0.12	−32.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	19	6	13.80	−7.80	−73.1%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	9	5.30	+3.70	+90.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	5	9	6.61	+2.39	+8.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more	7	1	5.63	−4.63	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	1	3.51	−2.51	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	12	5	8.17	−3.17	−57.4%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Orebro · Home31 Mar 2019	31 Mar 2019	W 1-0	2.71	1.33	3	+1.67	+1.67	+€1.71
M2	Ostersunds · Away7 Apr 2019	7 Apr 2019	L 2-3	6.73	0.65	0	−0.65	+1.02	−€1.00
M3	Hacken · Home13 Apr 2019	13 Apr 2019	L 0-3	6.27	0.66	0	−0.66	+0.36	−€1.00
M4	Norrkoping · Away19 Apr 2019	19 Apr 2019	L 3-4	9.42	0.48	0	−0.48	−0.12	−€1.00
M5	Sirius · Home24 Apr 2019	24 Apr 2019	D 0-0	2.55	1.38	1	−0.38	−0.50	−€1.00
M6	Sundsvall · Away29 Apr 2019	29 Apr 2019	L 1-3	5.05	0.80	0	−0.80	−1.30	−€1.00
M7	Malmo FF · Home5 May 2019	5 May 2019	L 1-2	8.36	0.53	0	−0.53	−1.83	−€1.00
M8	AFC Eskilstuna · Away11 May 2019	11 May 2019	D 0-0	3.27	1.16	1	−0.16	−1.99	−€1.00
M9	Djurgarden · Home15 May 2019	15 May 2019	L 0-3	3.99	0.98	0	−0.98	−2.96	−€1.00
M10	AIK · Away20 May 2019	20 May 2019	L 0-2	8.39	0.56	0	−0.56	−3.52	−€1.00
M11	Helsingborg · Away25 May 2019	25 May 2019	D 1-1	3.91	0.99	1	+0.01	−3.51	−€1.00
M12	Kalmar · Home1 Jun 2019	1 Jun 2019	D 0-0	3.05	1.22	1	−0.22	−3.74	−€1.00
M13	Elfsborg · Home29 Jun 2019	29 Jun 2019	W 2-1	2.73	1.33	3	+1.67	−2.06	+€1.73
M14	Hammarby · Away7 Jul 2019	7 Jul 2019	L 2-6	7.21	0.57	0	−0.57	−2.64	−€1.00
M15	Goteborg · Home13 Jul 2019	13 Jul 2019	D 1-1	3.79	1.01	1	−0.01	−2.65	−€1.00
M16	Orebro · Away20 Jul 2019	20 Jul 2019	L 0-4	2.89	1.25	0	−1.25	−3.91	−€1.00
M17	Sundsvall · Home27 Jul 2019	27 Jul 2019	W 2-0	2.18	1.58	3	+1.42	−2.48	+€1.18
M18	Helsingborg · Home3 Aug 2019	3 Aug 2019	D 1-1	2.67	1.35	1	−0.35	−2.83	−€1.00
M19	Goteborg · Away12 Aug 2019	12 Aug 2019	D 1-1	4.46	0.89	1	+0.11	−2.72	−€1.00
M20	Malmo FF · Away18 Aug 2019	18 Aug 2019	L 0-5	11.16	0.41	0	−0.41	−3.13	−€1.00
M21	Hammarby · Home26 Aug 2019	26 Aug 2019	L 0-2	5.60	0.71	0	−0.71	−3.84	−€1.00
M22	Hacken · Away1 Sep 2019	1 Sep 2019	L 1-4	7.66	0.55	0	−0.55	−4.39	−€1.00
M23	Sirius · Away13 Sep 2019	13 Sep 2019	L 0-2	3.50	1.07	0	−1.07	−5.46	−€1.00
M24	Ostersunds · Home21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	W 1-0	1.93	1.73	3	+1.27	−4.19	+€0.93
M25	Djurgarden · Away24 Sep 2019	24 Sep 2019	L 0-1	11.82	0.38	0	−0.38	−4.58	−€1.00
M26	Norrkoping · Home29 Sep 2019	29 Sep 2019	L 0-2	4.43	0.87	0	−0.87	−5.45	−€1.00
M27	Elfsborg · Away6 Oct 2019	6 Oct 2019	L 0-4	3.36	1.10	0	−1.10	−6.55	−€1.00
M28	AIK · Home20 Oct 2019	20 Oct 2019	L 1-5	4.74	0.87	0	−0.87	−7.42	−€1.00
M29	Kalmar · Away26 Oct 2019	26 Oct 2019	W 3-2	5.11	0.81	3	+2.19	−5.23	+€4.11
M30	AFC Eskilstuna · Home2 Nov 2019	2 Nov 2019	W 1-0	1.60	1.99	3	+1.01	−4.22	+€0.60
Total					29.22	25	−4.22		−€13.74