← Allsvenskan 2019

Kalmar

Season 2019 · 32 matches played

Last 5LLLWD

Points

Points expected by the market

43.33

Gap

−16.33

Yield

−50.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	1	2.27	−1.27	−100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	10	7	17.68	−10.68	−81.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	13	13.32	−0.32	−14.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	11	6	10.05	−4.05	−49.6%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	1	2.27	−1.27	−100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	8	7	14.12	−7.12	−77.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	2	4.13	−2.13	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	2	4.03	−2.03	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	0	3.56	−3.56	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	11	9.19	+1.81	+22.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	7	4	6.02	−2.02	−20.9%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Sirius · Home31 Mar 2019	31 Mar 2019	L 0-2	1.75	1.88	0	−1.88	−1.88	−€1.00
M2	Hammarby · Away7 Apr 2019	7 Apr 2019	D 1-1	4.84	0.85	1	+0.15	−1.73	−€1.00
M3	Norrkoping · Home13 Apr 2019	13 Apr 2019	D 2-2	2.94	1.26	1	−0.26	−1.99	−€1.00
M4	Sundsvall · Away20 Apr 2019	20 Apr 2019	W 2-1	3.14	1.19	3	+1.81	−0.19	+€2.14
M5	Goteborg · Home25 Apr 2019	25 Apr 2019	D 1-1	2.30	1.52	1	−0.52	−0.71	−€1.00
M6	Orebro · Away29 Apr 2019	29 Apr 2019	D 1-1	2.55	1.41	1	−0.41	−1.11	−€1.00
M7	Ostersunds · Home5 May 2019	5 May 2019	D 1-1	2.11	1.63	1	−0.63	−1.74	−€1.00
M8	Helsingborg · Home11 May 2019	11 May 2019	W 1-0	1.84	1.81	3	+1.19	−0.55	+€0.84
M9	Hacken · Away15 May 2019	15 May 2019	L 0-1	4.41	0.92	0	−0.92	−1.46	−€1.00
M10	Malmo FF · Away19 May 2019	19 May 2019	L 0-1	5.83	0.73	0	−0.73	−2.19	−€1.00
M11	Elfsborg · Home26 May 2019	26 May 2019	D 1-1	2.07	1.65	1	−0.65	−2.85	−€1.00
M12	Falkenbergs · Away1 Jun 2019	1 Jun 2019	D 0-0	2.38	1.48	1	−0.48	−3.33	−€1.00
M13	Djurgarden · Away1 Jul 2019	1 Jul 2019	L 0-2	4.04	0.99	0	−0.99	−4.32	−€1.00
M14	AIK · Home6 Jul 2019	6 Jul 2019	L 0-1	2.79	1.35	0	−1.35	−5.67	−€1.00
M15	AFC Eskilstuna · Away13 Jul 2019	13 Jul 2019	L 1-3	2.16	1.62	0	−1.62	−7.29	−€1.00
M16	Djurgarden · Home22 Jul 2019	22 Jul 2019	L 0-1	3.52	1.10	0	−1.10	−8.39	−€1.00
M17	Elfsborg · Away29 Jul 2019	29 Jul 2019	L 1-2	3.14	1.19	0	−1.19	−9.58	−€1.00
M18	Hammarby · Home4 Aug 2019	4 Aug 2019	D 2-2	3.89	0.98	1	+0.02	−9.56	−€1.00
M19	Orebro · Home12 Aug 2019	12 Aug 2019	D 1-1	2.13	1.62	1	−0.62	−10.17	−€1.00
M20	AIK · Away18 Aug 2019	18 Aug 2019	W 2-1	5.54	0.79	3	+2.21	−7.97	+€4.54
M21	Goteborg · Away26 Aug 2019	26 Aug 2019	L 0-4	3.91	1.01	0	−1.01	−8.97	−€1.00
M22	Malmo FF · Home1 Sep 2019	1 Sep 2019	L 0-5	4.46	0.91	0	−0.91	−9.89	−€1.00
M23	Ostersunds · Away14 Sep 2019	14 Sep 2019	W 2-1	2.98	1.24	3	+1.76	−8.13	+€1.98
M24	Hacken · Home21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	D 1-1	3.75	1.04	1	−0.04	−8.17	−€1.00
M25	Sundsvall · Home24 Sep 2019	24 Sep 2019	L 0-2	2.01	1.69	0	−1.69	−9.86	−€1.00
M26	Helsingborg · Away30 Sep 2019	30 Sep 2019	L 0-2	3.07	1.23	0	−1.23	−11.08	−€1.00
M27	AFC Eskilstuna · Home6 Oct 2019	6 Oct 2019	D 0-0	1.37	2.27	1	−1.27	−12.35	−€1.00
M28	Norrkoping · Away20 Oct 2019	20 Oct 2019	L 0-1	5.67	0.73	0	−0.73	−13.09	−€1.00
M29	Falkenbergs · Home26 Oct 2019	26 Oct 2019	L 2-3	1.69	1.93	0	−1.93	−15.02	−€1.00
M30	Sirius · Away2 Nov 2019	2 Nov 2019	L 0-3	1.66	1.94	0	−1.94	−16.96	−€1.00
M31	Brage · Away6 Nov 2019	6 Nov 2019	W 2-0	2.43	1.46	3	+1.54	−15.42	+€1.43
M32	Brage · Home10 Nov 2019	10 Nov 2019	D 2-2	1.72	1.91	1	−0.91	−16.33	−€1.00
Total					43.33	27	−16.33		−€16.07