← Allsvenskan 2019

Sirius

Season 2019 · 30 matches played

Last 5LWLDW

Points

Points expected by the market

30.86

Gap

−1.86

Yield

−4.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	3	1.66	+1.34	+103.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	15	13.87	+1.13	+1.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	19	11	15.32	−4.32	−12.6%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	3	1.66	+1.34	+103.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	10	9.94	+0.06	+0.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	7	3	6.19	−3.19	−28.9%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	5	3.94	+1.06	+3.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	12	8	9.14	−1.14	−3.1%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Kalmar · Away31 Mar 2019	31 Mar 2019	W 2-0	4.87	0.85	3	+2.15	+2.15	+€3.87
M2	AFC Eskilstuna · Home8 Apr 2019	8 Apr 2019	W 3-2	2.22	1.57	3	+1.43	+3.58	+€1.22
M3	AIK · Away14 Apr 2019	14 Apr 2019	L 1-2	8.70	0.53	0	−0.53	+3.05	−€1.00
M4	Malmo FF · Home20 Apr 2019	20 Apr 2019	L 0-1	5.40	0.75	0	−0.75	+2.29	−€1.00
M5	Falkenbergs · Away24 Apr 2019	24 Apr 2019	D 0-0	2.64	1.34	1	−0.34	+1.95	−€1.00
M6	Elfsborg · Home27 Apr 2019	27 Apr 2019	L 2-4	3.01	1.22	0	−1.22	+0.73	−€1.00
M7	Goteborg · Home4 May 2019	4 May 2019	L 2-4	3.04	1.22	0	−1.22	−0.49	−€1.00
M8	Hammarby · Away10 May 2019	10 May 2019	L 0-2	8.37	0.52	0	−0.52	−1.01	−€1.00
M9	Sundsvall · Home15 May 2019	15 May 2019	W 1-0	2.57	1.39	3	+1.61	+0.60	+€1.57
M10	Hacken · Home19 May 2019	19 May 2019	L 3-4	4.57	0.87	0	−0.87	−0.28	−€1.00
M11	Orebro · Away27 May 2019	27 May 2019	W 2-0	3.11	1.19	3	+1.81	+1.54	+€2.11
M12	Djurgarden · Home1 Jun 2019	1 Jun 2019	L 0-2	4.14	0.95	0	−0.95	+0.59	−€1.00
M13	Norrkoping · Away30 Jun 2019	30 Jun 2019	W 1-0	6.76	0.62	3	+2.38	+2.97	+€5.76
M14	Ostersunds · Home6 Jul 2019	6 Jul 2019	D 1-1	2.24	1.55	1	−0.55	+2.42	−€1.00
M15	Helsingborg · Away15 Jul 2019	15 Jul 2019	L 0-1	4.00	0.99	0	−0.99	+1.43	−€1.00
M16	Malmo FF · Away21 Jul 2019	21 Jul 2019	D 1-1	10.65	0.45	1	+0.55	+1.98	−€1.00
M17	AIK · Home27 Jul 2019	27 Jul 2019	L 0-2	3.78	1.05	0	−1.05	+0.93	−€1.00
M18	Hacken · Away4 Aug 2019	4 Aug 2019	L 1-4	6.50	0.65	0	−0.65	+0.28	−€1.00
M19	Djurgarden · Away10 Aug 2019	10 Aug 2019	L 0-4	8.03	0.55	0	−0.55	−0.27	−€1.00
M20	Norrkoping · Home18 Aug 2019	18 Aug 2019	L 0-2	3.98	0.97	0	−0.97	−1.24	−€1.00
M21	Orebro · Home24 Aug 2019	24 Aug 2019	L 3-4	2.43	1.44	0	−1.44	−2.68	−€1.00
M22	Elfsborg · Away31 Aug 2019	31 Aug 2019	D 1-1	3.61	1.05	1	−0.05	−2.73	−€1.00
M23	Falkenbergs · Home13 Sep 2019	13 Sep 2019	W 2-0	2.03	1.66	3	+1.34	−1.39	+€1.03
M24	Goteborg · Away21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	L 1-2	4.96	0.81	0	−0.81	−2.20	−€1.00
M25	Hammarby · Home25 Sep 2019	25 Sep 2019	L 1-3	4.94	0.78	0	−0.78	−2.98	−€1.00
M26	Sundsvall · Away29 Sep 2019	29 Sep 2019	L 1-2	3.66	1.06	0	−1.06	−4.04	−€1.00
M27	Helsingborg · Home5 Oct 2019	5 Oct 2019	W 2-1	2.25	1.55	3	+1.45	−2.59	+€1.25
M28	Ostersunds · Away19 Oct 2019	19 Oct 2019	L 0-2	3.68	1.05	0	−1.05	−3.64	−€1.00
M29	AFC Eskilstuna · Away27 Oct 2019	27 Oct 2019	D 0-0	2.52	1.41	1	−0.41	−4.05	−€1.00
M30	Kalmar · Home2 Nov 2019	2 Nov 2019	W 3-0	4.98	0.81	3	+2.19	−1.86	+€3.98
Total					30.86	29	−1.86		−€1.21