← Allsvenskan 2020

Falkenbergs

Season 2020 · 30 matches played

Last 5WLLDL

Points

Points expected by the market

30.41

Gap

−6.41

Yield

−45.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	0	3.43	−3.43	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	12	16	14.96	+1.04	−2.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	16	8	12.01	−4.01	−70.3%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	0	3.43	−3.43	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	6	8	7.72	+0.28	−13.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	7	5	5.79	−0.79	−32.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	6	8	7.25	+0.75	+8.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	9	3	6.22	−3.22	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Hacken · Home15 Jun 2020	15 Jun 2020	D 1-1	5.08	0.81	1	+0.19	+0.19	−€1.00
M2	Mjallby · Away18 Jun 2020	18 Jun 2020	W 1-0	3.33	1.13	3	+1.87	+2.06	+€2.33
M3	Kalmar · Home21 Jun 2020	21 Jun 2020	L 0-2	3.44	1.11	0	−1.11	+0.95	−€1.00
M4	Varberg · Away29 Jun 2020	29 Jun 2020	L 1-3	3.08	1.20	0	−1.20	−0.25	−€1.00
M5	Sirius · Home2 Jul 2020	2 Jul 2020	L 1-2	2.88	1.27	0	−1.27	−1.53	−€1.00
M6	AIK · Away5 Jul 2020	5 Jul 2020	D 1-1	5.31	0.78	1	+0.22	−1.31	−€1.00
M7	Ostersunds · Home11 Jul 2020	11 Jul 2020	L 0-1	1.84	1.81	0	−1.81	−3.11	−€1.00
M8	Djurgarden · Away15 Jul 2020	15 Jul 2020	L 0-1	8.41	0.54	0	−0.54	−3.65	−€1.00
M9	Helsingborg · Home19 Jul 2020	19 Jul 2020	D 2-2	2.44	1.45	1	−0.45	−4.11	−€1.00
M10	Goteborg · Away23 Jul 2020	23 Jul 2020	D 2-2	5.89	0.72	1	+0.28	−3.83	−€1.00
M11	Norrkoping · Home26 Jul 2020	26 Jul 2020	D 3-3	5.32	0.76	1	+0.24	−3.58	−€1.00
M12	Orebro · Away1 Aug 2020	1 Aug 2020	W 2-1	3.18	1.16	3	+1.84	−1.74	+€2.18
M13	Hammarby · Away5 Aug 2020	5 Aug 2020	D 1-1	5.85	0.69	1	+0.31	−1.44	−€1.00
M14	Malmo FF · Home9 Aug 2020	9 Aug 2020	L 0-1	8.07	0.54	0	−0.54	−1.98	−€1.00
M15	Elfsborg · Away13 Aug 2020	13 Aug 2020	L 2-4	5.10	0.77	0	−0.77	−2.75	−€1.00
M16	AIK · Home16 Aug 2020	16 Aug 2020	D 1-1	3.29	1.15	1	−0.15	−2.91	−€1.00
M17	Malmo FF · Away23 Aug 2020	23 Aug 2020	L 1-2	9.23	0.47	0	−0.47	−3.38	−€1.00
M18	Ostersunds · Away29 Aug 2020	29 Aug 2020	L 1-2	2.52	1.41	0	−1.41	−4.79	−€1.00
M19	Goteborg · Home13 Sep 2020	13 Sep 2020	L 0-3	3.50	1.09	0	−1.09	−5.88	−€1.00
M20	Varberg · Home17 Sep 2020	17 Sep 2020	W 2-0	2.80	1.28	3	+1.72	−4.16	+€1.80
M21	Sirius · Away21 Sep 2020	21 Sep 2020	L 1-2	4.37	0.88	0	−0.88	−5.04	−€1.00
M22	Hammarby · Home27 Sep 2020	27 Sep 2020	L 1-3	4.57	0.85	0	−0.85	−5.89	−€1.00
M23	Hacken · Away3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	L 0-3	6.02	0.68	0	−0.68	−6.58	−€1.00
M24	Orebro · Home17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	W 2-1	2.40	1.44	3	+1.56	−5.02	+€1.40
M25	Kalmar · Away25 Oct 2020	25 Oct 2020	D 0-0	2.93	1.25	1	−0.25	−5.27	−€1.00
M26	Djurgarden · Home1 Nov 2020	1 Nov 2020	W 3-2	4.76	0.83	3	+2.17	−3.11	+€3.76
M27	Elfsborg · Home7 Nov 2020	7 Nov 2020	L 1-3	4.27	0.91	0	−0.91	−4.01	−€1.00
M28	Norrkoping · Away23 Nov 2020	23 Nov 2020	L 1-4	5.79	0.68	0	−0.68	−4.69	−€1.00
M29	Helsingborg · Away29 Nov 2020	29 Nov 2020	D 0-0	3.38	1.09	1	−0.09	−4.78	−€1.00
M30	Mjallby · Home6 Dec 2020	6 Dec 2020	L 2-3	2.04	1.62	0	−1.62	−6.41	−€1.00
Total					30.41	24	−6.41		−€13.53