← Allsvenskan 2020

Sirius

Season 2020 · 30 matches played

Last 5DLLDL

Points

Points expected by the market

37.77

Gap

+0.23

Yield

−17.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	7	11	12.74	−1.74	−23.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	16	13.86	+2.14	+6.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	13	11	11.16	−0.16	−32.4%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	11	11.11	−0.11	−10.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	4	5	5.36	−0.36	−23.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	5	4.20	+0.80	−6.8%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	0	1.63	−1.63	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	6	11	8.50	+2.50	+26.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more	8	6	6.96	−0.96	−48.4%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Djurgarden · Home14 Jun 2020	14 Jun 2020	L 0-2	6.27	0.70	0	−0.70	−0.70	−€1.00
M2	Ostersunds · Away18 Jun 2020	18 Jun 2020	W 2-0	2.88	1.27	3	+1.73	+1.03	+€1.88
M3	Hacken · Home22 Jun 2020	22 Jun 2020	D 2-2	3.60	1.07	1	−0.07	+0.96	−€1.00
M4	Goteborg · Home28 Jun 2020	28 Jun 2020	D 2-2	2.52	1.42	1	−0.42	+0.54	−€1.00
M5	Falkenbergs · Away2 Jul 2020	2 Jul 2020	W 2-1	2.48	1.43	3	+1.57	+2.10	+€1.48
M6	Orebro · Home5 Jul 2020	5 Jul 2020	W 2-1	2.05	1.65	3	+1.35	+3.45	+€1.05
M7	Hammarby · Away11 Jul 2020	11 Jul 2020	D 0-0	5.63	0.72	1	+0.28	+3.73	−€1.00
M8	AIK · Away15 Jul 2020	15 Jul 2020	L 0-1	3.50	1.11	0	−1.11	+2.62	−€1.00
M9	Norrkoping · Home19 Jul 2020	19 Jul 2020	W 4-2	4.66	0.85	3	+2.15	+4.77	+€3.66
M10	Kalmar · Away23 Jul 2020	23 Jul 2020	D 1-1	2.44	1.45	1	−0.45	+4.32	−€1.00
M11	Malmo FF · Home26 Jul 2020	26 Jul 2020	L 2-5	5.69	0.73	0	−0.73	+3.58	−€1.00
M12	Elfsborg · Away3 Aug 2020	3 Aug 2020	D 3-3	3.72	1.02	1	−0.02	+3.56	−€1.00
M13	Mjallby · Away6 Aug 2020	6 Aug 2020	D 1-1	2.69	1.33	1	−0.33	+3.23	−€1.00
M14	Varberg · Home10 Aug 2020	10 Aug 2020	D 3-3	1.92	1.74	1	−0.74	+2.49	−€1.00
M15	Helsingborg · Home13 Aug 2020	13 Aug 2020	W 3-1	1.59	2.00	3	+1.00	+3.49	+€0.59
M16	Helsingborg · Away17 Aug 2020	17 Aug 2020	W 2-1	2.21	1.55	3	+1.45	+4.94	+€1.21
M17	Hammarby · Home22 Aug 2020	22 Aug 2020	W 3-1	3.06	1.20	3	+1.80	+6.74	+€2.06
M18	Varberg · Away29 Aug 2020	29 Aug 2020	L 0-2	2.37	1.47	0	−1.47	+5.28	−€1.00
M19	Hacken · Away14 Sep 2020	14 Sep 2020	D 1-1	4.81	0.82	1	+0.18	+5.46	−€1.00
M20	Falkenbergs · Home21 Sep 2020	21 Sep 2020	W 2-1	1.72	1.88	3	+1.12	+6.58	+€0.72
M21	Orebro · Away26 Sep 2020	26 Sep 2020	L 1-2	2.06	1.63	0	−1.63	+4.94	−€1.00
M22	Norrkoping · Away4 Oct 2020	4 Oct 2020	W 2-1	4.13	0.92	3	+2.08	+7.03	+€3.13
M23	Ostersunds · Home18 Oct 2020	18 Oct 2020	L 2-3	1.59	2.01	0	−2.01	+5.02	−€1.00
M24	Djurgarden · Away24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	L 0-4	3.57	1.06	0	−1.06	+3.95	−€1.00
M25	AIK · Home29 Oct 2020	29 Oct 2020	D 0-0	2.86	1.27	1	−0.27	+3.68	−€1.00
M26	Kalmar · Home1 Nov 2020	1 Nov 2020	D 2-2	1.80	1.83	1	−0.83	+2.85	−€1.00
M27	Malmo FF · Away8 Nov 2020	8 Nov 2020	L 0-4	10.07	0.44	0	−0.44	+2.42	−€1.00
M28	Mjallby · Home23 Nov 2020	23 Nov 2020	L 0-1	2.35	1.47	0	−1.47	+0.95	−€1.00
M29	Elfsborg · Home29 Nov 2020	29 Nov 2020	D 1-1	4.58	0.84	1	+0.16	+1.10	−€1.00
M30	Goteborg · Away6 Dec 2020	6 Dec 2020	L 0-2	4.41	0.87	0	−0.87	+0.23	−€1.00
Total					37.77	38	+0.23		−€5.22