← Allsvenskan 2020

Varberg

Season 2020 · 30 matches played

Last 5LWWWL

Points

Points expected by the market

33.34

Gap

+3.66

Yield

−0.7%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	4	4.97	−0.97	−28.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	13	26	17.04	+8.96	+70.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	14	7	11.34	−4.34	−60.6%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	4	4.97	−0.97	−28.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	16	8.88	+7.12	+100.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	4	4.66	−0.66	+10.4%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	6	10	8.16	+1.84	+34.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	9	3	6.68	−3.68	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Helsingborg · Away15 Jun 2020	15 Jun 2020	W 3-0	2.64	1.35	3	+1.65	+1.65	+€1.64
M2	Goteborg · Home18 Jun 2020	18 Jun 2020	L 1-2	3.14	1.20	0	−1.20	+0.45	−€1.00
M3	Malmo FF · Away21 Jun 2020	21 Jun 2020	D 2-2	10.84	0.44	1	+0.56	+1.01	−€1.00
M4	Falkenbergs · Home29 Jun 2020	29 Jun 2020	W 3-1	2.30	1.51	3	+1.49	+2.50	+€1.30
M5	Hammarby · Away2 Jul 2020	2 Jul 2020	L 0-1	6.53	0.63	0	−0.63	+1.86	−€1.00
M6	Kalmar · Home6 Jul 2020	6 Jul 2020	W 1-0	2.46	1.44	3	+1.56	+3.42	+€1.46
M7	Orebro · Away12 Jul 2020	12 Jul 2020	L 0-1	2.53	1.40	0	−1.40	+2.02	−€1.00
M8	Mjallby · Home16 Jul 2020	16 Jul 2020	W 1-0	2.97	1.25	3	+1.75	+3.77	+€1.97
M9	AIK · Home19 Jul 2020	19 Jul 2020	D 2-2	3.39	1.13	1	−0.13	+3.64	−€1.00
M10	Norrkoping · Away22 Jul 2020	22 Jul 2020	L 0-2	7.94	0.55	0	−0.55	+3.09	−€1.00
M11	Elfsborg · Away26 Jul 2020	26 Jul 2020	D 3-3	4.56	0.88	1	+0.12	+3.21	−€1.00
M12	Ostersunds · Home2 Aug 2020	2 Aug 2020	D 1-1	1.89	1.78	1	−0.78	+2.43	−€1.00
M13	Djurgarden · Home5 Aug 2020	5 Aug 2020	L 1-2	3.87	1.02	0	−1.02	+1.42	−€1.00
M14	Sirius · Away10 Aug 2020	10 Aug 2020	D 3-3	3.82	1.00	1	0.00	+1.42	−€1.00
M15	Hacken · Home13 Aug 2020	13 Aug 2020	L 1-3	4.45	0.90	0	−0.90	+0.52	−€1.00
M16	Hacken · Away17 Aug 2020	17 Aug 2020	L 1-2	5.85	0.70	0	−0.70	−0.18	−€1.00
M17	Orebro · Home23 Aug 2020	23 Aug 2020	W 2-1	2.16	1.59	3	+1.41	+1.23	+€1.16
M18	Sirius · Home29 Aug 2020	29 Aug 2020	W 2-0	2.85	1.26	3	+1.74	+2.96	+€1.85
M19	Mjallby · Away13 Sep 2020	13 Sep 2020	W 3-2	3.15	1.19	3	+1.81	+4.78	+€2.15
M20	Falkenbergs · Away17 Sep 2020	17 Sep 2020	L 0-2	2.40	1.45	0	−1.45	+3.33	−€1.00
M21	Helsingborg · Home21 Sep 2020	21 Sep 2020	L 1-3	2.12	1.60	0	−1.60	+1.73	−€1.00
M22	Kalmar · Away28 Sep 2020	28 Sep 2020	D 1-1	2.97	1.24	1	−0.24	+1.49	−€1.00
M23	Goteborg · Away4 Oct 2020	4 Oct 2020	L 0-1	3.78	1.01	0	−1.01	+0.48	−€1.00
M24	Norrkoping · Home18 Oct 2020	18 Oct 2020	L 1-3	3.71	1.01	0	−1.01	−0.53	−€1.00
M25	Elfsborg · Home26 Oct 2020	26 Oct 2020	D 0-0	3.75	1.02	1	−0.02	−0.54	−€1.00
M26	AIK · Away2 Nov 2020	2 Nov 2020	L 0-1	4.42	0.91	0	−0.91	−1.46	−€1.00
M27	Hammarby · Home8 Nov 2020	8 Nov 2020	W 5-2	3.46	1.08	3	+1.92	+0.47	+€2.46
M28	Ostersunds · Away22 Nov 2020	22 Nov 2020	W 4-0	2.27	1.54	3	+1.46	+1.93	+€1.27
M29	Malmo FF · Home29 Nov 2020	29 Nov 2020	W 3-2	5.52	0.72	3	+2.28	+4.21	+€4.52
M30	Djurgarden · Away6 Dec 2020	6 Dec 2020	L 0-1	7.82	0.55	0	−0.55	+3.66	−€1.00
Total					33.34	37	+3.66		−€0.22