← Allsvenskan 2022

Elfsborg

Season 2022 · 30 matches played

Last 5DWWWW

Points

Points expected by the market

49.80

Gap

−0.80

Yield

−13.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	7	19	15.42	+3.58	+20.4%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	12	14	21.61	−7.61	−56.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	12	9.18	+2.82	+19.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	4	3.60	+0.40	−5.5%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	6	16	13.27	+2.73	+16.3%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	7	7	12.60	−5.60	−78.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	2	6	2.38	+3.62	+206.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	3	2.15	+0.85	+45.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	7	9.01	−2.01	−26.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	5	6	6.80	−0.80	−55.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	4	3.60	+0.40	−5.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Mjallby · Home4 Apr 2022	4 Apr 2022	L 0-2	1.58	2.02	0	−2.02	−2.02	−€1.00
M2	Malmo FF · Away11 Apr 2022	11 Apr 2022	D 1-1	5.52	0.74	1	+0.26	−1.76	−€1.00
M3	Varnamo · Home17 Apr 2022	17 Apr 2022	W 4-1	1.54	2.06	3	+0.94	−0.82	+€0.54
M4	Helsingborg · Away21 Apr 2022	21 Apr 2022	L 0-1	1.70	1.92	0	−1.92	−2.74	−€1.00
M5	Sundsvall · Home25 Apr 2022	25 Apr 2022	W 3-1	1.34	2.29	3	+0.71	−2.03	+€0.34
M6	Degerfors · Away1 May 2022	1 May 2022	W 6-0	1.67	1.92	3	+1.08	−0.95	+€0.67
M7	Djurgarden · Home9 May 2022	9 May 2022	D 0-0	2.03	1.65	1	−0.65	−1.60	−€1.00
M8	Sirius · Away14 May 2022	14 May 2022	L 0-2	1.77	1.85	0	−1.85	−3.45	−€1.00
M9	Goteborg · Home22 May 2022	22 May 2022	W 3-1	1.49	2.12	3	+0.88	−2.57	+€0.49
M10	Norrkoping · Away29 May 2022	29 May 2022	D 2-2	2.59	1.36	1	−0.36	−2.93	−€1.00
M11	Varberg · Home27 Jun 2022	27 Jun 2022	W 4-1	1.35	2.28	3	+0.72	−2.21	+€0.35
M12	Hacken · Away3 Jul 2022	3 Jul 2022	D 1-1	2.70	1.30	1	−0.30	−2.51	−€1.00
M13	AIK · Home10 Jul 2022	10 Jul 2022	D 2-2	2.13	1.59	1	−0.59	−3.10	−€1.00
M14	Hammarby · Away17 Jul 2022	17 Jul 2022	L 0-3	3.57	1.04	0	−1.04	−4.14	−€1.00
M15	Kalmar · Away24 Jul 2022	24 Jul 2022	L 0-1	3.07	1.19	0	−1.19	−5.33	−€1.00
M16	Hacken · Home31 Jul 2022	31 Jul 2022	D 4-4	2.04	1.62	1	−0.62	−5.95	−€1.00
M17	Mjallby · Away7 Aug 2022	7 Aug 2022	D 1-1	2.48	1.42	1	−0.42	−6.37	−€1.00
M18	Norrkoping · Home14 Aug 2022	14 Aug 2022	D 1-1	1.80	1.82	1	−0.82	−7.19	−€1.00
M19	Varnamo · Away21 Aug 2022	21 Aug 2022	D 1-1	2.00	1.67	1	−0.67	−7.86	−€1.00
M20	Djurgarden · Away29 Aug 2022	29 Aug 2022	L 1-2	4.82	0.82	0	−0.82	−8.68	−€1.00
M21	Malmo FF · Home4 Sep 2022	4 Sep 2022	W 3-2	2.71	1.30	3	+1.70	−6.98	+€1.71
M22	Sundsvall · Away11 Sep 2022	11 Sep 2022	W 2-0	1.45	2.15	3	+0.85	−6.13	+€0.45
M23	Sirius · Home18 Sep 2022	18 Sep 2022	W 3-0	1.47	2.13	3	+0.87	−5.26	+€0.47
M24	Goteborg · Away3 Oct 2022	3 Oct 2022	W 3-1	2.25	1.53	3	+1.47	−3.79	+€1.25
M25	Kalmar · Home9 Oct 2022	9 Oct 2022	L 0-2	1.80	1.83	0	−1.83	−5.61	−€1.00
M26	Degerfors · Home14 Oct 2022	14 Oct 2022	D 1-1	1.45	2.15	1	−1.15	−6.76	−€1.00
M27	Varberg · Away19 Oct 2022	19 Oct 2022	W 3-0	2.03	1.66	3	+1.34	−5.42	+€1.03
M28	Hammarby · Home23 Oct 2022	23 Oct 2022	W 2-1	3.42	1.08	3	+1.92	−3.50	+€2.42
M29	Helsingborg · Home31 Oct 2022	31 Oct 2022	W 3-0	1.33	2.31	3	+0.69	−2.80	+€0.33
M30	AIK · Away6 Nov 2022	6 Nov 2022	W 1-0	3.78	1.00	3	+2.00	−0.80	+€2.78
Total					49.80	49	−0.80		−€4.17